IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eso/journl/v54y2023i1p101-121.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Population Growth: Implications for Commuting

Author

Listed:
  • John Curtis

    (Economic and Social Research Institute, Dublin; Department of Economics, Trinity College Dublin; SFI MaREI Centre for Energy, Climate and Marine, Ireland)

  • Elish Kelly

    (Economic and Social Research Institute, Dublin; Department of Economics, Trinity College Dublin; Institute of Labor Studies (IZA), Bonn)

Abstract

Planners and public policy decision-makers face many challenges in transport services provision. This research examines the impact of spatially concentrated versus dispersed residential development on transport in terms of congestion, expenditure, and emissions. The empirical modelling uses Galway city and its surrounding hinterland as a case study and provides scenario outcomes based on several planning development assumptions. Across the scenarios examined there is relatively little difference in total CO2 emissions from public and private transport combined, even across scenarios with quite different assumptions on the location of new housing developments. Consequently, emissions outcomes may not be a singular critical motivating factor behind such planning scenarios, though other factors such as congestion are also relevant. A critical assumption underpinning the analysis is that mode shares across spatial zones remain like those in 2016. Consequently, the analysis suggests that in addition to planning decisions impacting on the location of new residential development, to minimise the impact of commuting emissions associated with envisaged population growth by the year 2040 will necessitate substantial behavioural change in terms of commuting patterns.

Suggested Citation

  • John Curtis & Elish Kelly, 2023. "Population Growth: Implications for Commuting," The Economic and Social Review, Economic and Social Studies, vol. 54(1), pages 101-121.
    • Handle: RePEc:eso:journl:v:54:y:2023:i:1:p:101-121
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.esr.ie/article/view/2249/752
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eso:journl:v:54:y:2023:i:1:p:101-121. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Aedin Doris (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.esr.ie .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.