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Demanda habitacional e a hipótese da renda permanente

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  • André Abdala

Abstract

Este trabalho analisa a demanda por crédito habitacional na economia brasileira, entre o segundo trimestre de 2012 e o segundo trimestre de 2016, por meio dos métodos de Mínimos Quadrados Ordinários (MQO) e Generalized Method of Moments (GMM), em séries temporais, sob a abordagem da Hipótese da Renda Permanente. Contudo, a evidência empírica demonstra a não validação dessa teoria na análise da demanda por financiamento imobiliário, em virtude do excesso de sensibilidade do consumo à renda corrente, ocasionado, possivelmente, pela restrição de liquidez, cujos resultados indicam aumento nessa demanda, em termos relativos, superior ao aumento da renda, além do impacto esperado da taxa de juros.

Suggested Citation

  • André Abdala, 2019. "Demanda habitacional e a hipótese da renda permanente," Observatorio de la Economía Latinoamericana, Servicios Académicos Intercontinentales SL. Hasta 31/12/2022, issue 262, december.
    • Handle: RePEc:erv:observ:y:2019:i:262:49
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