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Choques de precios de materias primas, desempeño fiscal y crecimiento. Una propuesta de VAR estructural para la economía argentina

Author

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  • Luis N. Lanteri

    (Banco Central de Argentina)

Abstract

The international prices of commodities have increased markedly in recent years, driven by growth in China, India and other developing countries, which has had a positive impact on the economies of exporting these products. This paper analyzes the dynamics of changes in the prices of commodities on output growth and fiscal variables, in the case of Argentina. To this end, we use a structural VAR approach, with short-term restrictions, which allows nominal shocks in the international prices of commodities a_ect tax revenues, government consumer expenditures and output growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Luis N. Lanteri, 2008. "Choques de precios de materias primas, desempeño fiscal y crecimiento. Una propuesta de VAR estructural para la economía argentina," Estudios Económicos, El Colegio de México, Centro de Estudios Económicos, vol. 23(2), pages 163-202.
    • Handle: RePEc:emx:esteco:v:23:y:2008:i:2:p:163-202
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    File URL: https://estudioseconomicos.colmex.mx/index.php/economicos/article/view/135/137
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Paulo Chávez & Gabriel Rodríguez, 2023. "Time changing effects of external shocks on macroeconomic fluctuations in Peru: empirical application using regime-switching VAR models with stochastic volatility," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 159(2), pages 505-544, May.
    2. Junior A. Ojeda Cunya & Gabriel Rodríguez, 2022. "Time-Varying Effects of External Shocks on Macroeconomic Fluctuations in Peru: An Empirical Application using TVP-VAR- SV Models," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers 2022-507, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    International prices of commodities; tax revenues; government consumer expenditures; output growth; structural VAR.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C50 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - General
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • E66 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General Outlook and Conditions

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