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Estimación del tiempo de salida de la pobreza: Una aplicación a los diez municipios más marginados de México


  • Oscar Javier Cárdenas Rodríguez

    (Universidad de Guanajuato)

  • Francisco Javier Luna López

    (Secretaría de Finanzas y Administración, Estado de Guanajuato)


In this paper we apply the methodology proposed by Morduch (1998) to estimate the average exit time from poverty of the poor households in the ten most marginalized municipalities in Mexico via pecuniary income growth. The results show that in most cases there are families that will never leave poverty in their life time, even with an annual income growth, in real terms, of 4%.

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  • Oscar Javier Cárdenas Rodríguez & Francisco Javier Luna López, 2006. "Estimación del tiempo de salida de la pobreza: Una aplicación a los diez municipios más marginados de México," Estudios Económicos, El Colegio de México, Centro de Estudios Económicos, vol. 21(1), pages 45-54.
  • Handle: RePEc:emx:esteco:v:21:y:2006:i:1:p:45-54

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    1. Steven C. Salop, 1979. "Monopolistic Competition with Outside Goods," Bell Journal of Economics, The RAND Corporation, vol. 10(1), pages 141-156, Spring.
    2. Perotti, Enrico C. & Suarez, Javier, 2002. "Last bank standing: What do I gain if you fail?," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 46(9), pages 1599-1622, October.
    3. Matutes, Carmen & Vives, Xavier, 1996. "Competition for Deposits, Fragility, and Insurance," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 5(2), pages 184-216, April.
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