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Investment risk management in Tehran Stock Exchange (TSE) using technique of Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS)

Author

Listed:
  • Darush Farid
  • Alireza Rajabipoor Meybodi
  • Seyed Heydar Mirfakhraddiny

Abstract

Purpose - The purpose of this paper is to try to show how to manage risk by the use of “value at risk (VaR) concept” with Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS) technique in stock exchanges. Design/methodology/approach - The paper uses MCS technique in calculation of VaR in different set of stock portfolio, so that the risk inherent in the portfolio while making decision about investment in stock market could be estimated. Findings - The paper specifies which equity stocks have been more affected on VaR in set of portfolio and which equity stocks are lesser affected. In addition, the main result which is derived by the research shows that if there is a loss at future, what is max the loss at the level confidence which could be imposed by investors. Thus, the paper suggests how the investors can invest their capital so that they would minimize their loss and maximize their profit. Practical implications - By using concept of VaR calculated by MCS, the investors would be in a position to select better stock portfolio with a known risk measure. Originality/value - This paper tries to manage risks by use of “VaR concept,” which could be calculated by MCS technique.

Suggested Citation

  • Darush Farid & Alireza Rajabipoor Meybodi & Seyed Heydar Mirfakhraddiny, 2010. "Investment risk management in Tehran Stock Exchange (TSE) using technique of Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS)," Journal of Financial Crime, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 17(2), pages 265-278, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:eme:jfcpps:13590791011033944
    DOI: 10.1108/13590791011033944
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    Cited by:

    1. Dinabandhu Bag & Saurabh Goel, 2023. "Weak Form of Call Auction Prices: Simulation Using Monte Carlo Variants," Capital Markets Review, Malaysian Finance Association, vol. 31(1), pages 59-71.

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