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Uma ordem mundial em crise e transição: contemplando seu futuro

Author

Listed:
  • Deepak Nayyar

    (Emeritus Professor of Economics, Jawaharlal Nehru University, New Delhi, India.)

Abstract

O objetivo deste ensaio é analisar a ordem mundial que foi colocada em prática nofinal da Segunda Guerra Mundial e examinar como ela se desdobrou em termos de experiênciadesde então. Ele descreve os contornos amplos da mudança, que refletem mudanças noequilíbrio do poder econômico no mundo, analisa a evolução da ordem mundial atual desdeque surgiu, dividida em três fases, cada uma com um período de um quarto de século, e destacaalgumas manifestações importantes das múltiplas crises na ordem mundial existente, paradiscutir possíveis cenários futuros para 2050. Ao fazer isso, ele faz quatro perguntas. Estamostestemunhando o início de uma mudança transformadora na ordem mundial? Estamos à beirade uma ordem mundial bipolar emergente, com os Estados Unidos e a China como as duassuperpotências? Estamos caminhando para um mundo multipolar, no qual haverá outros 8 a10 países que também são atores-chave? Vamos viver com uma situação fluida e uma continuaçãode fato da Pax Americana? O resultado mais provável, conclui o ensaio, é que a ordemmundial existente, essencialmente a opção padrão, continuará. Classificação JEL: F52; F53; F54; F55; N0; N4.

Suggested Citation

  • Deepak Nayyar, 2025. "Uma ordem mundial em crise e transição: contemplando seu futuro," Brazilian Journal of Political Economy, FGV EAESP, vol. 45(2), pages 235-252, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:ekm:repojs:v:45:y:2025:i:2:p:235-252:id:2502
    DOI: 10.1590/0101-31572025-3724
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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • F52 - International Economics - - International Relations, National Security, and International Political Economy - - - National Security; Economic Nationalism
    • F53 - International Economics - - International Relations, National Security, and International Political Economy - - - International Agreements and Observance; International Organizations
    • F54 - International Economics - - International Relations, National Security, and International Political Economy - - - Colonialism; Imperialism; Postcolonialism
    • F55 - International Economics - - International Relations, National Security, and International Political Economy - - - International Institutional Arrangements
    • N0 - Economic History - - General
    • N4 - Economic History - - Government, War, Law, International Relations, and Regulation

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