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Economic complexity and elasticity ratio: a theoretical and empirical approach

Author

Listed:
  • André Mellini
  • Guilherme Jonas Costa da Silva

Abstract

This paper analyzes the role of economic complexity in the ratio of Thirlwall’selasticities, fundamental to understanding the reason for the unequal growth of countries. Tothis end, a theoretical model is used for a group of nations. Differences in growth ratesamong countries are associated with different ratios of income elasticities of exports and imports.According to econometric estimates, the country that manages to increase the economiccomplexity of its export basket, the investment/GDP ratio and has a lower GDP per capitaimproves the elasticities ratio and, therefore, its long-term growth. In other words, theresults are categorical in the sense of demonstrating the central role of these policies for thecountry to advance in the process of structural change and move towards the production of more complex manufactured goods, because these can ensure sustainable economic growth,that is, compatible with the equilibrium of the balance of payments. JEL Classification: C2; C22; F14; F41; F43.

Suggested Citation

  • André Mellini & Guilherme Jonas Costa da Silva, 2024. "Economic complexity and elasticity ratio: a theoretical and empirical approach," Brazilian Journal of Political Economy, Center of Political Economy, vol. 44(4), pages 730-752.
  • Handle: RePEc:ekm:repojs:v:44:y:2024:i:4:p:730-752:id:2480
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Economic complexity; Thirlwall’s Law; international trade; economic growth; structural change;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C2 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies

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