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Mudança estrutural e crescimento da produtividade no Brasil: onde estamos?

Author

Listed:
  • André Nassif

    (Departamento de Economia da Universidade Federal Fluminense – UFF, Rio de Janeiro/RJ, Brasil.)

  • Lucilene Morandi

    (Departamento de Economia da Universidade Federal Fluminense – UFF, Rio de Janeiro/RJ, Brasil.)

  • Eliane Ataújo

    (Departamento de Economia da Universidade Estadual de Maringá – UEM, e CNPq, Maringá/PR, Brasil.)

  • Carmem Feijó

    (Departamento de Economia da Universidade Federal Fluminense – UFF e CNPq, Rio de Janeiro/RJ, Brasil.)

Abstract

O objetivo deste artigo é discutir a evolução da produtividade do trabalho brasileira nas décadas de 1990 e 2000, para lançar luz sobre a resiliência da economia brasileira em recuperar o crescimento. O crescimento da produtividade do trabalho no Brasil, após mostrar taxas anuais positivas entre 1950 e 1979, ficou estagnado após 1980. Seguindo a metodologia de McMillan e Rodrik (2011), este artigo inicialmente decompõe o crescimento da produtividade do trabalho no período 1950-2011, de acordo com o componente ‘structural change’ (potencializador de crescimento) e o ‘within effect’ (que reduz o crescimento, se não for acompanhado por uma mudança estrutural significativa enquanto o país ainda estiver em processo de catching-up). A seguir, é apresentado um exercício econométrico para explicar os determinantes do componente ‘structural change’ no período 1995-2011. Os resultados mostram que a estagnação da produtividade brasileira é explicada pela tendência de supervalorização da moeda brasileira, pela reprimarização da cesta de exportação, pelo baixo grau de abertura comercial do Brasil e pelas altas taxas de juros reais vigentes no período. Classificação JEL: 010; 011; 014; 047.

Suggested Citation

  • André Nassif & Lucilene Morandi & Eliane Ataújo & Carmem Feijó, 2020. "Mudança estrutural e crescimento da produtividade no Brasil: onde estamos?," Brazilian Journal of Political Economy, FGV EAESP, vol. 40(2), pages 243-263, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:ekm:repojs:v:40:y:2020:i:2:p:243-263:id:688
    DOI: 10.1590/0101-31572020-3089
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    Cited by:

    1. Polloni-Silva, Eduardo & Moreno, Rosina & Moralles, Herick Fernando, 2025. "Technological content and institutional quality of FDI: Investigating the effects on the environment in Brazil," International Business Review, Elsevier, vol. 34(6).
    2. Theo Santini & Ricardo Azevedo Araujo, 2021. "Productivity growth and sectoral interactions under Domar aggregation: a study for the Brazilian economy from 2000 to 2014," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 10(1), pages 1-30, December.
    3. Luan Marca & Luis Fernando Tavares Vieira Braga & Adelar Fochezatto & Augusto Mussi Alvim, 2026. "Spatial dynamics of gross domestic product per capita in Brazilian municipalities," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 75(1), pages 1-30, March.
    4. H. Stephen Gardner & Lourenço S. Paz & John Ssozi, 2023. "The influence of international trade on labour productivity in services: The case of Brazil in the 1990s," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 27(1), pages 268-290, February.

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