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Ainda sobre a conversibilidade

Author

Listed:
  • Persio Arida

    (Economista, São Paulo/SP, Brasil.)

Abstract

O documento introduz uma taxonomia 2x2 dos regimes cambiais em termos de restrições de conversibilidade (sim ou não) e a forma de determinação de preços (taxas de câmbio flutuantes versus administradas). Argumenta-se que a conversibilidade é um sinal importante para os agentes privados. A conversibilidade livre na presença de taxas de câmbio fixas reforça a credibilidade da peg; A presença de restrições à conversibilidade frente às taxas de câmbio flutuantes revela falta de confiança do Banco Central na estabilidade do padrão monetário. O primeiro foi o caso da Argentina antes do fim do plano de Cavallo; o último é o caso do Brasil hoje. A consolidação da estabilidade monetária nas circunstâncias atuais exige um esforço fiscal sustentado; entretanto, um processo pré-anunciado de elevação gradual das restrições à conversibilidade pode, de alguma maneira, aliviar esse esforço, tornando-o politicamente viável. Classificação JEL: F41.

Suggested Citation

  • Persio Arida, 2003. "Ainda sobre a conversibilidade," Brazilian Journal of Political Economy, FGV EAESP, vol. 23(3), pages 481-488, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:ekm:repojs:v:23:y:2003:i:3:p:481-488:id:910
    DOI: 10.1590/0101-31572004-0673
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    JEL classification:

    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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