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Electoral interests and price fluctuation in regulated markets

Author

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  • Claudio A. C. Paiva

Abstract

This paper builds on the theory of regulation developed by Stigler and Peltzman.According to these authors, a regulator chooses his/her strategy seeking to maximize politicalsupport from consumers and producers, viewing welfare and efficiency as secondary issues.This process determines a regulated price that is between the competitive and monopolisticlevels. Our paper develops a modified version of Peltzman’s model by considering the ideathat the regulator’s behaviour might change with the proximity of elections. The additionof a timing dimension to the problem and its implication for consumers, producers and theregulator’s behavior suggest that the optimal strategy now implies in a price cycle in regulatedindustries. The regulator has incentives to impose higher prices when elections are relativelyfar ahead and lower (real) prices in periods that immediately precede an important election.We show that the Brazilian gasoline market between 1969-1984 supports our results. JEL Classification: E31; D72; L71.

Suggested Citation

  • Claudio A. C. Paiva, 1994. "Electoral interests and price fluctuation in regulated markets," Brazilian Journal of Political Economy, Center of Political Economy, vol. 14(4), pages 537-547.
  • Handle: RePEc:ekm:repojs:v:14:y:1994:i:4:p:537-547:id:1301
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Political economy; political business cycle; election; inflation; fuel;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
    • L71 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Primary Products and Construction - - - Mining, Extraction, and Refining: Hydrocarbon Fuels

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