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Bulanik Mantik Tabanli Ekonometrik Modelleme:Para Talebi-Turkiye Ornegi

Author

Listed:
  • Serkan ARAS

    (Dokuz Eylul Universitesi, Iktisadi ve Idari Bilimler Fakultesi, Ekonometri Bolumu)

  • Emrah GULAY

    (Dokuz Eylul Universitesi, Iktisadi ve Idari Bilimler Fakultesi, Ekonometri Bolumu)

Abstract

Gunumuzde yapilan para talebinin modellenmesine iliskin literaturu inceledigimizde, modelleme yontemi olarak cogunlukla kointegrasyon testlerinin kullanilmis oldugu ve bu testlerden Engle-Granger (1987) yani sira Johansen-Juselius (1990) tarafindan onerilen kointegrasyon tekniklerinin bircok arastirmaci tarafindan cogu ulkenin para talebinin modellen-mesinde uygulandigi gorulmektedir. Para politikasinin uygulanmasi asamasinda politik tutumlarin gerlendirilmesinin yani sira para politikasi kapsaminda alinacak kararlar, para ve diger makroekonomik degiskenler arasindaki iliskinin incelen-mesine bagli oldugundan, farkli fonksiyonel iliskileri degerlendirmemize izin veren farkli modelleme ontemlerinin ele alinarak degerlendirilmesi onem kazanmaktadir. Bu calismanin amaci, literaturde yaygin bir bicimde kullanilan ekonometrik modelleme yontemine karsilik alternatif bir yontem ortaya koymaktir. Bu nedenle, calismada kointegrasyon yontemlerinden biri olan Engle-Granger (1987) tarafindan onerilen esbutunlesme testi ile bulanik modelleme yontemlerinden bulanik Takagi-Sugeno modeli kullanilip, iki yontem Turkiye’nin para talebi fonksiyonunun incelenmesi asamasinda karsilastirilarak yorumlanmýþtýr.

Suggested Citation

  • Serkan ARAS & Emrah GULAY, 2011. "Bulanik Mantik Tabanli Ekonometrik Modelleme:Para Talebi-Turkiye Ornegi," Ege Academic Review, Ege University Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, vol. 11(3), pages 349-359.
    • Handle: RePEc:ege:journl:v:11:y:2011:i:3:p:349-359
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