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Teorija racionalnih ocekivnja i izvoz

Author

Listed:
  • Neven Vidakovic

    (Privredna banka Zagreb)

Abstract

Ovaj rad nastoji napraviti kvantitativan model koji ce moci poslužiti pri donošenju ekonomskih odluka. Središnja je tema izvoz i tecajna politika. Teorijska podloga rada bazira se na dinamicnome programiranju. Svjesni smo da odnosi u ekonomiji i stvarnome svijetu nisu linearni. Autor pokušava napraviti model koji je rekursivan i u svojoj prirodi dinamican. Posebna pozornost pridaje se šokovima s kojima se susrece ekonomija. Sokovi su podijeljeni na nominalne (monetarne) i realne. Baza je modela mikroekonomska, tako da percepcija šoka ovisi o individualnoj funkciji ocekivanja. Pri analizi šokova posebna pozornost pridaje se teoriji neutralnosti koju je postavio Robert Lucas. Nakon što je postavljen model, rad istražuje implikacije modela. Posebna pozornost u analizi modela pridaje se tecajnoj politici i nacinu na koji se ona u modelu odražava na stanje u ekonomiji. Ovaj je rad predviden kao prvi u nizu radova koji ce se baviti problemom izvoza, kako na teorijskome tako na empirijskome planu.

Suggested Citation

  • Neven Vidakovic, 2005. "Teorija racionalnih ocekivnja i izvoz," Ekonomija Economics, Rifin d.o.o., vol. 12(1), pages 153-172.
    • Handle: RePEc:eff:ekoeco:v:12:y:2005:i:1:p:153-172
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