IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/transe/v202y2025ics1366554525003540.html

Estimation of shipping emissions from maritime big data: A comprehensive review and prospective

Author

Listed:
  • Yang, Xun
  • Tsoulakos, Nikolaos
  • Xiao, Zhe
  • Wei, Xiaoyang
  • Fu, Xiuju
  • Yan, Ran

Abstract

Maritime industry plays a critical role in global trade and is currently faced with the urgent need for decarbonization to address climate change and environmental degradation. This paper reviews the state-of-the-art in ship emission estimation studies, particularly focusing on academic literature with automatic identification system (AIS) data as the major data source. Our comprehensive review covers 78 academic publications from 2009 to 2024. The research data status, ship emission estimation and validation methods, analysis of emission outcomes, potential impacts, and feasible countermeasures of these studies are extensively summarized and discussed. We find significant gaps in research data availability, especially the detailed engine and emissions records. Methodological issues arise from the oversimplification of maritime operations in current studies driven by artificial intelligence (AI) and inadequate models for in-port emissions estimation and fuel switching dynamics. We also discuss evaluation challenges, including the lack of real ship emission data and the difficulties in differentiating between maritime and urban emissions in coastal areas. To improve current data condition, we recommend improving data collection procedure with enhanced monitoring technologies and adapting new multi-source data fusion techniques like transfer learning. AI-driven methodologies should be enhanced with domain knowledge to adapt varying maritime contexts. We also propose a generic structure of open-source maritime database and encourage building collaborative data-sharing system to promote partnerships across various sectors for emission tracking, analysis, and mitigation.

Suggested Citation

  • Yang, Xun & Tsoulakos, Nikolaos & Xiao, Zhe & Wei, Xiaoyang & Fu, Xiuju & Yan, Ran, 2025. "Estimation of shipping emissions from maritime big data: A comprehensive review and prospective," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 202(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:transe:v:202:y:2025:i:c:s1366554525003540
    DOI: 10.1016/j.tre.2025.104313
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1366554525003540
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.tre.2025.104313?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Tichavska, Miluše & Tovar, Beatriz, 2015. "Port-city exhaust emission model: An application to cruise and ferry operations in Las Palmas Port," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 347-360.
    2. repec:osf:osfxxx:v7ctk_v1 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Du, Lei & Goerlandt, Floris & Kujala, Pentti, 2020. "Review and analysis of methods for assessing maritime waterway risk based on non-accident critical events detected from AIS data," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 200(C).
    4. Zhang, Jinfen & Liu, Jiongjiong & Hirdaris, Spyros & Zhang, Mingyang & Tian, Wuliu, 2023. "An interpretable knowledge-based decision support method for ship collision avoidance using AIS data," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).
    5. Xing, Hui & Spence, Stephen & Chen, Hua, 2020. "A comprehensive review on countermeasures for CO2 emissions from ships," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    6. Tymoteusz Miller & Irmina Durlik & Ewelina Kostecka & Adrianna Łobodzińska & Marcin Matuszak, 2024. "The Emerging Role of Artificial Intelligence in Enhancing Energy Efficiency and Reducing GHG Emissions in Transport Systems," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(24), pages 1-31, December.
    7. Kevin Cullinane & Sharon Cullinane, 2013. "Atmospheric Emissions from Shipping: The Need for Regulation and Approaches to Compliance," Transport Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(4), pages 377-401, July.
    8. Marija Jović & Edvard Tijan & Doroteja Vidmar & Andreja Pucihar, 2022. "Factors of Digital Transformation in the Maritime Transport Sector," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-18, August.
    9. Lee, Sang-Jeong & Sun, Qinghe & Meng, Qiang, 2023. "Vessel weather routing subject to sulfur emission regulation," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 177(C).
    10. Fosso Wamba, Samuel & Queiroz, Maciel M. & Trinchera, Laura, 2020. "Dynamics between blockchain adoption determinants and supply chain performance: An empirical investigation," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    11. Wang, Jinggai & Li, Huanhuan & Yang, Zaili & Ge, Ying-En, 2024. "Shore power for reduction of shipping emission in port: A bibliometric analysis," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 188(C).
    12. Sharafian, Amir & Blomerus, Paul & Mérida, Walter, 2019. "Natural gas as a ship fuel: Assessment of greenhouse gas and air pollutant reduction potential," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 332-346.
    13. Yuwei Yin & Jasmine Siu Lee Lam & Nguyen Khoi Tran, 2021. "Emission accounting of shipping activities in the era of big data," Post-Print hal-05044574, HAL.
    14. Dong Yang & Lingxiao Wu & Shuaian Wang & Haiying Jia & Kevin X. Li, 2019. "How big data enriches maritime research – a critical review of Automatic Identification System (AIS) data applications," Transport Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(6), pages 755-773, November.
    15. Xiao-Tong Wang & Huan Liu & Zhao-Feng Lv & Fan-Yuan Deng & Hai-Lian Xu & Li-Juan Qi & Meng-Shuang Shi & Jun-Chao Zhao & Song-Xin Zheng & Han-Yang Man & Ke-Bin He, 2021. "Trade-linked shipping CO2 emissions," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 11(11), pages 945-951, November.
    16. Roar Adland & Pierre Cariou & Haiying Jia & François-Charles Wolff, 2018. "The energy efficiency effects of periodic ship hull cleaning," Post-Print hal-03732129, HAL.
    17. Yang, Ying & Liu, Yang & Li, Guorong & Zhang, Zekun & Liu, Yanbin, 2024. "Harnessing the power of Machine learning for AIS Data-Driven maritime Research: A comprehensive review," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 183(C).
    18. Li, Zhijun & Fei, Jiangang & Du, Yuquan & Ong, Kok-Leong & Arisian, Sobhan, 2024. "A near real-time carbon accounting framework for the decarbonization of maritime transport," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
    19. Huan Liu & Zhi-Hang Meng & Zhao-Feng Lv & Xiao-Tong Wang & Fan-Yuan Deng & Yang Liu & Yan-Ni Zhang & Meng-Shuang Shi & Qiang Zhang & Ke-Bin He, 2019. "Emissions and health impacts from global shipping embodied in US–China bilateral trade," Nature Sustainability, Nature, vol. 2(11), pages 1027-1033, November.
    20. Jae-Ung Lee & Won-Ju Lee & Eun-Seok Jeong & Jung-Ho Noh & Jong-Sung Kim & Ji-Woong Lee, 2022. "Algorithm for Monitoring Emissions Based on Actual Speed of Ships Participating in the Korean Vessel Speed Reduction Program," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(24), pages 1-24, December.
    21. Bye, Rolf J. & Aalberg, Asbjørn L., 2018. "Maritime navigation accidents and risk indicators: An exploratory statistical analysis using AIS data and accident reports," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 176(C), pages 174-186.
    22. Huan Liu & Mingliang Fu & Xinxin Jin & Yi Shang & Drew Shindell & Greg Faluvegi & Cary Shindell & Kebin He, 2016. "Health and climate impacts of ocean-going vessels in East Asia," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 6(11), pages 1037-1041, November.
    23. Xinyi Fu & Dongsheng Chen & Xiurui Guo & Jianlei Lang & Ying Zhou, 2022. "Improving the estimation of ship emissions using the high‐spatiotemporal resolution wind fields simulated by the Weather Research and Forecast model: A case study in China," Journal of Industrial Ecology, Yale University, vol. 26(6), pages 1871-1881, December.
    24. Franziska Dettner & Simon Hilpert, 2023. "Emission Inventory for Maritime Shipping Emissions in the North and Baltic Sea," Data, MDPI, vol. 8(5), pages 1-14, May.
    25. Tijan, Edvard & Jović, Marija & Aksentijević, Saša & Pucihar, Andreja, 2021. "Digital transformation in the maritime transport sector," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).
    26. Li, Huanhuan & Jiao, Hang & Yang, Zaili, 2023. "AIS data-driven ship trajectory prediction modelling and analysis based on machine learning and deep learning methods," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 175(C).
    27. Araks Ekmekçioğlu & Kaan Ünlügençoğlu & Uğur Buğra Çelebi, 2022. "Estimation of shipping emissions based on real-time data with different methods: A case study of an oceangoing container ship," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 24(3), pages 4451-4470, March.
    28. Feiyang Ren & Shaohan Wang & Yuanzhe Liu & Yi Han & Aditya Rio Prabowo, 2022. "Container Ship Carbon and Fuel Estimation in Voyages Utilizing Meteorological Data with Data Fusion and Machine Learning Techniques," Mathematical Problems in Engineering, Hindawi, vol. 2022, pages 1-21, November.
    29. Tichavska, Miluše & Tovar, Beatriz & Gritsenko, Daria & Johansson, Lasse & Jalkanen, Jukka Pekka, 2019. "Air emissions from ships in port: Does regulation make a difference?," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 128-140.
    30. Xu, Haonan & Liu, Jiaguo & Xu, Xiaofeng & Chen, Jihong & Yue, Xiaohang, 2024. "The impact of AI technology adoption on operational decision-making in competitive heterogeneous ports☆," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 183(C).
    31. Feng, Mingxiang & Shaw, Shih-Lung & Peng, Guojun & Fang, Zhixiang, 2020. "Time efficiency assessment of ship movements in maritime ports: A case study of two ports based on AIS data," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    32. Peng, Peng & Yang, Yu & Cheng, Shifen & Lu, Feng & Yuan, Zimu, 2019. "Hub-and-spoke structure: Characterizing the global crude oil transport network with mass vessel trajectories," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 168(C), pages 966-974.
    33. Li, Huanhuan & Xing, Wenbin & Jiao, Hang & Yang, Zaili & Li, Yan, 2024. "Deep bi-directional information-empowered ship trajectory prediction for maritime autonomous surface ships," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 181(C).
    34. Lixian Fan & Hao Yang & Xinfang Zhang, 2024. "Targeting the Effectiveness Assessment of the Emission Control Policies on the Shipping Industry," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(6), pages 1-16, March.
    35. Chen, Xinqiang & Lv, Siying & Shang, Wen-long & Wu, Huafeng & Xian, Jiangfeng & Song, Chengcheng, 2024. "Ship energy consumption analysis and carbon emission exploitation via spatial-temporal maritime data," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 360(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Li, Yuejin & Guo, Shaoqing & Chen, Pengfei & Chen, Linying & Mou, Junmin, 2026. "A stacking-based ensemble learning model for intelligent ship trajectory interpolation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 265(PB).
    2. Gong, Jincheng & Li, Huanhuan & Jiao, Hang & Yang, Zaili, 2025. "Uncertainty-aware ship trajectory prediction via Spatio-Temporal Graph Transformer," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 203(C).
    3. Li, Zhijun & Fei, Jiangang & Du, Yuquan & Ong, Kok-Leong & Arisian, Sobhan, 2024. "A near real-time carbon accounting framework for the decarbonization of maritime transport," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
    4. Gil, Mateusz & Kozioł, Paweł & Wróbel, Krzysztof & Montewka, Jakub, 2022. "Know your safety indicator – A determination of merchant vessels Bow Crossing Range based on big data analytics," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 220(C).
    5. Xin, Xuri & Liu, Kezhong & Loughney, Sean & Wang, Jin & Li, Huanhuan & Ekere, Nduka & Yang, Zaili, 2023. "Multi-scale collision risk estimation for maritime traffic in complex port waters," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 240(C).
    6. Tran, Nguyen Khoi & Haralambides, Hercules & Notteboom, Theo & Cullinane, Kevin, 2025. "The costs of maritime supply chain disruptions: The case of the Suez Canal blockage by the ‘Ever Given’ megaship," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 279(C).
    7. Li, Chengkun & Cariou, Pierre & Yang, Dong, 2025. "Does voluntary carbon disclosure lead to supply chain leakage: evidence from U.S. Firms’ container carbon emissions," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 202(C).
    8. Xin, Xuri & Liu, Kezhong & Loughney, Sean & Wang, Jin & Yang, Zaili, 2023. "Maritime traffic clustering to capture high-risk multi-ship encounters in complex waters," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).
    9. Chun-Yu Lin & Gui-Lin Dai & Su Wang & Xiu-Mei Fu, 2022. "The Evolution of Green Port Research: A Knowledge Mapping Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(19), pages 1-25, September.
    10. Liu, Jiongjiong & Zhang, Jinfen & Yang, Zaili & Wan, Chengpeng & Zhang, Mingyang, 2024. "A novel data-driven method of ship collision risk evolution evaluation during real encounter situations," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 249(C).
    11. Shi, Jia & Ye, Jun & Chen, Jihong & Pang, Chuan & She, Siyang & Xu, Jinyu & Jiang, Houqiang & Chen, Xizhi, 2026. "Synergistic control of greenhouse gas and air pollutant emissions from ships in global container ports," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 206(C).
    12. Yue, Mingyuan & Guo, Siqing & Wang, Yubing & Dai, Lei & Hu, Hao, 2025. "Fixed or mobile shore side electricity? A comparative analysis considering berth allocation and quay crane assignment," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 340(C).
    13. J. Verschuur & E. E. Koks & J. W. Hall, 2022. "Ports’ criticality in international trade and global supply-chains," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-13, December.
    14. Li, Huanhuan & Zhang, Yu & Li, Yan & Lam, Jasmine Siu Lee & Matthews, Christian & Yang, Zaili, 2025. "Deep multi-view information-powered vessel traffic flow prediction for intelligent transportation management," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 197(C).
    15. Li, Huanhuan & Xing, Wenbin & Jiao, Hang & Yuen, Kum Fai & Gao, Ruobin & Li, Yan & Matthews, Christian & Yang, Zaili, 2024. "Bi-directional information fusion-driven deep network for ship trajectory prediction in intelligent transportation systems," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 192(C).
    16. Lyu, Di & Zhao, Pengjun & Zhu, Weiwang & Li, Weifeng & Ling, Yingkai & Pang, Liang & Zhang, Shiyi & Xu, Yongjian, 2025. "Impact of Russia–Ukraine conflict on global crude oil shipping carbon emissions," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    17. Yang, Dong & Liao, Shiguan & Venus Lun, Y.H & Bai, Xiwen, 2023. "Towards sustainable port management: Data-driven global container ports turnover rate assessment," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 175(C).
    18. Li, Lingyue & Gao, Suixiang & Yang, Wenguo & Xiong, Xing, 2021. "Assessment and improvement of EPA's penalty policy: From the perspective of governments' and ships' behaviors," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 104(C), pages 18-28.
    19. S. Levent Kuzu & Levent Bilgili & Alper Kiliç, 2021. "Estimation and dispersion analysis of shipping emissions in Bandirma Port, Turkey," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 23(7), pages 10288-10308, July.
    20. Kerbiriou, Ronan & Serry, Arnaud, 2023. "Estimation and analysis of container handling rates in European ports," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:transe:v:202:y:2025:i:c:s1366554525003540. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/600244/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.