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A martingale approach for detecting the drift of a Wiener process

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  • Paulsen, Volkert

Abstract

Lerchez (Ann. Statist. 14, 1986b, 1030-1048) considered a sequential Bayes-test problem for the drift of the Wiener process. In the case of a normal prior an o(c)-optimal test could be constructed. In this paper a new martingale approach is presented, which provides an expansion of the Bayes risk for a one-sided SPRT. Relations to the optimal Bayes risk are given, which show the o(c)-optimality for suitable nonnormal priors.

Suggested Citation

  • Paulsen, Volkert, 1999. "A martingale approach for detecting the drift of a Wiener process," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 80(2), pages 177-191, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:spapps:v:80:y:1999:i:2:p:177-191
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Alsmeyer, G. & Irle, A., 1986. "Asymptotic expansions for the variance of stopping times in nonlinear renewal theory," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 235-258, December.
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