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Clustering of large deviations in moving average processes: The long memory regime

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  • Chakrabarty, Arijit
  • Samorodnitsky, Gennady

Abstract

We investigate how large deviations events cluster in the framework of an infinite moving average process with light-tailed noise and long memory. The long memory makes clusters larger, and the asymptotic behaviour of the size of the cluster turns out to be described by the first hitting time of a randomly shifted fractional Brownian motion with drift.

Suggested Citation

  • Chakrabarty, Arijit & Samorodnitsky, Gennady, 2023. "Clustering of large deviations in moving average processes: The long memory regime," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 163(C), pages 387-423.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:spapps:v:163:y:2023:i:c:p:387-423
    DOI: 10.1016/j.spa.2023.06.009
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