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Unlocking the power of fintech: Nonlinear impacts on new quality productive forces

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  • Wang, Jinyi
  • Cui, Chuqi
  • He, Liang
  • Dong, Hao

Abstract

Although fintech significantly enhances firm-level efficiency and productivity, its non-linear relationship with new quality productive forces has yet to be fully explored. Drawing on panel data from 27 Chinese provinces for 2013–2022, this study develops a novel indicator aligned with China’s development framework to systematically explore the impact of fintech on new quality productive forces(NQPF). Empirical results show that a 1% increase in fintech development is associated with a 0.044% increase in new quality productive forces. Quantile regression reveals that this effect is the strongest in high-quantile regions and the weakest in low-quantile ones. Moderation and threshold model analyses suggest that simply intensifying financial regulation does not strengthen fintech’s contribution; rather, region-specific regulatory approaches tailored to local conditions are necessary. Mediation analysis reveals that fintech promotes new quality productive forces primarily through rationalization of industrial structures. The findings provide important policy insights into driving sustainable productivity growth and regional development strategies.

Suggested Citation

  • Wang, Jinyi & Cui, Chuqi & He, Liang & Dong, Hao, 2026. "Unlocking the power of fintech: Nonlinear impacts on new quality productive forces," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:riibaf:v:89:y:2026:i:c:s0275531926002151
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2026.103488
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