IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/reveco/v101y2025ics1059056025003259.html

Impact of regional digital economy on default recovery: Evidence from China

Author

Listed:
  • Chen, Muzi
  • Li, Geng
  • Li, Nan
  • Yang, Xiaoguang
  • Trainor, William J.

Abstract

Using a unique sample during 2015–2019 from a nation-wide commercial bank, which contains nearly 40,000 loans and the recovery records of branch institutions covering the mainland China, we study the effects of the development of regional digital economy on loan default recovery rate. We find that the recovery rate of non-performing loans is increased where there is a higher level of development in the regional digital economy. This effect is more pronounced for small and medium-sized loans and branches at longer distances from their head office. The channels through which the digital economy affects banks' loan recovery are investigated. The digital economy improves the efficiency and convenience of banks' information processing and better tracks loan customer disconnections, leading to greater loan recovery. In addition, online judicial auctions, a relatively new mechanism for asset recovery, can improve the efficiency of asset processing and expedite loan repayment, thereby reducing banks’ loss due to loan defaults. We verified the robustness of the results by various methods such as quantile regression and logit transformation of recovery. By incorporating regional legal and marketization control variables, fixed effects and interaction terms, and the PSM methodology, we further reduce the potential endogeneity in the models.

Suggested Citation

  • Chen, Muzi & Li, Geng & Li, Nan & Yang, Xiaoguang & Trainor, William J., 2025. "Impact of regional digital economy on default recovery: Evidence from China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:reveco:v:101:y:2025:i:c:s1059056025003259
    DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2025.104162
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1059056025003259
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.iref.2025.104162?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Pengpeng Yue & Aslihan Gizem Korkmaz & Zhichao Yin & Haigang Zhou, 2022. "The rise of digital finance: Financial inclusion or debt trap," Papers 2201.09221, arXiv.org.
    2. Yinqiao Li & Renée Spigt & Laurens Swinkels, 2017. "The impact of FinTech start-ups on incumbent retail banks’ share prices," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 3(1), pages 1-16, December.
    3. Thakor, Anjan V., 2020. "Fintech and banking: What do we know?," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 41(C).
    4. Juliane Begenau & Maryam Farboodi & Laura Veldkamp, 2018. "Big Data in Finance and the Growth of Large Firms," Working Papers 18-08, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business, Department of Economics.
    5. Juliane Begenau & Maryam Farboodi & Laura Veldkamp, 2018. "Big Data in Finance and the Growth of Large Firms," NBER Working Papers 24550, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Banna, Hasanul & Kabir Hassan, M. & Rashid, Mamunur, 2021. "Fintech-based financial inclusion and bank risk-taking: Evidence from OIC countries," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    7. Jagtiani, Julapa & Lemieux, Catharine, 2018. "Do fintech lenders penetrate areas that are underserved by traditional banks?," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 43-54.
    8. Jünger, Moritz & Mietzner, Mark, 2020. "Banking goes digital: The adoption of FinTech services by German households," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 34(C).
    9. Starosta, Wojciech, 2021. "Loss given default decomposition using mixture distributions of in-default events," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 292(3), pages 1187-1199.
    10. Zhou, Guangyou & Zhu, Jieyu & Luo, Sumei, 2022. "The impact of fintech innovation on green growth in China: Mediating effect of green finance," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
    11. Qi, Min & Zhao, Xinlei, 2011. "Comparison of modeling methods for Loss Given Default," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(11), pages 2842-2855, November.
    12. Chen, Xiaowei & Wang, Gang & Zhang, Xiangting, 2019. "Modeling recovery rate for leveraged loans," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 231-241.
    13. Matthias Breuer & Ed Dehaan, 2024. "Using and Interpreting Fixed Effects Models," Journal of Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 62(4), pages 1183-1226, September.
    14. Yoko Nakagaki, 2018. "Fertility, female labor participation and income in East Asia," International Journal of Development Issues, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 17(1), pages 69-86, April.
    15. Chen, Gaocai & Liu, Peng & Jiang, Aiying, 2024. "Does digital transformation in enterprises reduce debt default risk?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(PA).
    16. Juliane Begenau & Laura Veldkamp & Maryam Farboodi, 2018. "Big Data in Finance and the Growth of Large Firms," 2018 Meeting Papers 155, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    17. Cheng, Maoyong & Qu, Yang, 2020. "Does bank FinTech reduce credit risk? Evidence from China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    18. Zhang, Yun & Liu, Yun & Zhang, Yifei & Chen, Xin, 2022. "Globalization blueprint and households’ fintech debt: Evidence from China’s One Belt One Road initiative," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 38-55.
    19. Yao, Xiao & Crook, Jonathan & Andreeva, Galina, 2017. "Enhancing two-stage modelling methodology for loss given default with support vector machines," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 263(2), pages 679-689.
    20. Lei Xu & Qian Liu & Bin Li & Chen Ma, 2022. "Fintech business and firm access to bank loans," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 62(4), pages 4381-4421, December.
    21. Andreas Fuster & Matthew Plosser & Philipp Schnabl & James Vickery, 2019. "The Role of Technology in Mortgage Lending," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 32(5), pages 1854-1899.
    22. Anagnostopoulos, Ioannis, 2018. "Fintech and regtech: Impact on regulators and banks," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 7-25.
    23. repec:bla:jfinan:v:58:y:2003:i:4:p:1393-1414 is not listed on IDEAS
    24. Wu, Xin & Jin, Tianhe & Yang, Keng & Qi, Hanying, 2023. "The impact of bank FinTech on commercial banks' risk-taking in China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    25. Karadima, Maria & Louri, Helen, 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty and non-performing loans: The moderating role of bank concentration," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    26. Hou, Xiaohui & Gao, Zhixian & Wang, Qing, 2016. "Internet finance development and banking market discipline: Evidence from China," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 22(C), pages 88-100.
    27. Begenau, Juliane & Farboodi, Maryam & Veldkamp, Laura, 2018. "Big data in finance and the growth of large firms," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 71-87.
    28. Jankowitsch, Rainer & Nagler, Florian & Subrahmanyam, Marti G., 2014. "The determinants of recovery rates in the US corporate bond market," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(1), pages 155-177.
    29. Liu, Haiming & Hu, Jikong, 2024. "The impact of bank fintech on corporate debt default," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    30. Nie, Zi & Ling, Xuan & Chen, Meian, 2023. "The power of technology: FinTech and corporate debt default risk in China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    31. Khieu, Hinh D. & Mullineaux, Donald J. & Yi, Ha-Chin, 2012. "The determinants of bank loan recovery rates," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(4), pages 923-933.
    32. Shi, Baofeng & Chi, Guotai & Li, Weiping, 2020. "Exploring the mismatch between credit ratings and loss-given-default: A credit risk approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 420-428.
    33. Frontczak, Robert & Rostek, Stefan, 2015. "Modeling loss given default with stochastic collateral," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 162-170.
    34. Wang, Haijun & Mao, Kunyuan & Wu, Wanting & Luo, Haohan, 2023. "Fintech inputs, non-performing loans risk reduction and bank performance improvement," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    35. Zhang, Xiaofei & Zhao, Xinlei, 2024. "Using the Bayesian sampling method to estimate corporate loss given default distribution," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    36. Lee, Chi-Chuan & Li, Xinrui & Yu, Chin-Hsien & Zhao, Jinsong, 2021. "Does fintech innovation improve bank efficiency? Evidence from China’s banking industry," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 468-483.
    37. Buchak, Greg & Matvos, Gregor & Piskorski, Tomasz & Seru, Amit, 2018. "Fintech, regulatory arbitrage, and the rise of shadow banks," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 130(3), pages 453-483.
    38. Xia, Yufei & Zhao, Junhao & He, Lingyun & Li, Yinguo & Yang, Xiaoli, 2021. "Forecasting loss given default for peer-to-peer loans via heterogeneous stacking ensemble approach," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 1590-1613.
    39. Tobias Berg & Valentin Burg & Ana Gombović & Manju Puri, 2020. "On the Rise of FinTechs: Credit Scoring Using Digital Footprints," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 33(7), pages 2845-2897.
    40. Roger Koenker & Kevin F. Hallock, 2001. "Quantile Regression," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 15(4), pages 143-156, Fall.
    41. Christian Haddad & Lars Hornuf, 2023. "How do fintech start-ups affect financial institutions’ performance and default risk?," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(15), pages 1761-1792, October.
    42. Kowalewski, Oskar & Pisany, Paweł, 2022. "Banks' consumer lending reaction to fintech and bigtech credit emergence in the context of soft versus hard credit information processing," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    43. Altman, Edward I. & Kalotay, Egon A., 2014. "Ultimate recovery mixtures," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 116-129.
    44. Michael J. Peel, 2014. "Addressing unobserved endogeneity bias in accounting studies: control and sensitivity methods by variable type," Accounting and Business Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(5), pages 545-571, October.
    45. Zhao, Jinsong & Li, Xinghao & Yu, Chin-Hsien & Chen, Shi & Lee, Chi-Chuan, 2022. "Riding the FinTech innovation wave: FinTech, patents and bank performance," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 122(C).
    46. Rui Wang & Jiangtao Liu & Hang(Robin) Luo, 2021. "Fintech development and bank risk taking in China," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(4-5), pages 397-418, March.
    47. Wayne E. Ferson & Sergei Sarkissian & Timothy T. Simin, 2003. "Spurious Regressions in Financial Economics?," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 58(4), pages 1393-1413, August.
    48. Yue, Pengpeng & Korkmaz, Aslihan Gizem & Yin, Zhichao & Zhou, Haigang, 2022. "The rise of digital finance: Financial inclusion or debt trap?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PA).
    49. Ming Li & Zilong Song & Xu Sun & Yumiao Yu, 2025. "Can digital transformation decrease the debt concentration?," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 65(3), pages 2213-2243, September.
    50. Zhang, Weiwei & Chen, Fu & Liu, Enru & Zhang, Yichi & Li, Fangfang, 2023. "How does digital inclusive finance promote the financial performance of Chinese cultural enterprises?," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    51. Jonathan Chiu & Thorsten V Koeppl, 2019. "Blockchain-Based Settlement for Asset Trading," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 32(5), pages 1716-1753.
    52. Han, Chulwoo & Jang, Youngmin, 2013. "Effects of debt collection practices on loss given default," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 21-31.
    53. Fasano, Francesco & Cappa, Francesco, 2022. "How do banking fintech services affect SME debt?," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
    54. He, Chengying & Geng, Xiaoxu & Tan, Chunzhi & Guo, Ruijin, 2023. "Fintech and corporate debt default risk: Influencing mechanisms and heterogeneity," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 164(C).
    55. Murinde, Victor & Rizopoulos, Efthymios & Zachariadis, Markos, 2022. "The impact of the FinTech revolution on the future of banking: Opportunities and risks," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    56. Sheng, Tianxiang, 2021. "The effect of fintech on banks’ credit provision to SMEs: Evidence from China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 39(C).
    57. Zhineng Hu & Qiong Feng & Jing Ma & Shuangyi Zheng, 2021. "Poverty Reduction Effect of New-Type Agricultural Cooperatives: An Empirical Analysis Using Propensity Score Matching and Endogenous Switching Regression Models," Mathematical Problems in Engineering, Hindawi, vol. 2021, pages 1-12, June.
    58. Laage, Louise, 2024. "A Correlated Random Coefficient panel model with time-varying endogeneity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 242(2).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Choudhary, Priya & Thenmozhi, M., 2024. "Fintech and financial sector: ADO analysis and future research agenda," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    2. Tang, Mengxuan & Hu, Yang & Corbet, Shaen & Hou, Yang (Greg) & Oxley, Les, 2024. "Fintech, bank diversification and liquidity: Evidence from China," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(PA).
    3. Guo, Junyan & Fang, Hanqing & Liu, Xuexin & Wang, Cizhi & Wang, Yuan, 2023. "FinTech and financing constraints of enterprises: Evidence from China," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    4. Pacelli, Vincenzo & Miglietta, Federica & Foglia, Matteo, 2022. "The extreme risk connectedness of the new financial system: European evidence," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    5. Chen, Wen & Wu, Weili & Zhang, Tonghui, 2023. "Fintech development, firm digitalization, and bank loan pricing," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(C).
    6. Campanella, Francesco & Serino, Luana & Battisti, Enrico & Giakoumelou, Anastasia & Karasamani, Isabella, 2023. "FinTech in the financial system: Towards a capital-intensive and high competence human capital reality?," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 155(PA).
    7. Zhao, Yang & Goodell, John W. & Wang, Yong & Abedin, Mohammad Zoynul, 2023. "Fintech, macroprudential policies and bank risk: Evidence from China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    8. Zhao, Jinsong & Li, Xinghao & Yu, Chin-Hsien & Chen, Shi & Lee, Chi-Chuan, 2022. "Riding the FinTech innovation wave: FinTech, patents and bank performance," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 122(C).
    9. Guo, Pin & Zhang, Cheng, 2023. "The impact of bank FinTech on liquidity creation: Evidence from China," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    10. Wang, Xiaoting & Hou, Siyuan & Kyaw, Khine & Xue, Xupeng & Liu, Xueqin, 2023. "Exploring the determinants of Fintech Credit: A comprehensive analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    11. Khan, Habib Hussain & Qureshi, Fiza & Jamali, Dima, 2025. "Digital disruption in financing: Are fintech and bigtech credit reshaping corporate access to capital?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    12. Geng, Hongyan & Guo, Pin & Cheng, Maoyong, 2023. "The dark side of bank FinTech: Evidence from a transition economy," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 1811-1830.
    13. Cheng, Maoyong & Qu, Yang, 2020. "Does bank FinTech reduce credit risk? Evidence from China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    14. Avani Raval & Rajesh Desai, 2024. "Reviews and directions of FinTech research: bibliometric–content analysis approach," Journal of Financial Services Marketing, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 29(3), pages 1115-1134, September.
    15. Cuadros-Solas, Pedro J. & Cubillas, Elena & Salvador, Carlos & Suárez, Nuria, 2024. "Digital disruptors at the gate. Does FinTech lending affect bank market power and stability?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    16. Zhang, Xudong & Li, Zhihui, 2025. "FinTech: The disruptive force reducing bank competition pressure," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    17. Tianlei Pi & Haoxuan Hu & Jingyi Lu & Xue Chen, 2022. "The Analysis of Fintech Risks in China: Based on Fuzzy Models," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(9), pages 1-13, April.
    18. Li, Bin & Sun, Jiawei & Xu, Lei & Guo, Fei, 2026. "Fintech engagement by non-financial firms and the speed of capital structure adjustment," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    19. Wang, Xiaodong & Deng, Yunfeng & Mao, Xiaomeng, 2025. "The impact of bank digital transformation on enterprises digital technology innovation in China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    20. Liu, Zhuang & Li, Rongnan & Zhou, Jinlan & Liu, Yue, 2025. "The risk management effect of bank fintech: Evidence from stock price crash risk," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • D83 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Search; Learning; Information and Knowledge; Communication; Belief; Unawareness
    • E23 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Production
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G51 - Financial Economics - - Household Finance - - - Household Savings, Borrowing, Debt, and Wealth

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:reveco:v:101:y:2025:i:c:s1059056025003259. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/620165 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.