An ‘Open Sky’ scenario for Hamburg airport and Germany

After explaining the background of this paper and the underlying basic modelling task a short description of the working procedure and the ‘Open Sky’ scenario results are shown in detail for Hamburg airport and in general for Germany. Hamburg airport can expect to gain passengers as a result of the newly inaugurated services. These services will be more international than intra-European, therefore the mix of aircraft movements will significantly change to more wide-body aircraft. This will affect airport revenues, ground handling and the airport infrastructure as well as noise exposure of the surrounding residents. For Germany in total, Open Sky will increase the overall volume of passengers although not all airports will be winners. In particular, international airports in highly populated areas will gain while smaller airports will lose due to decreasing feeder activities. The aircraft movements in Germany will decrease due to less hubbing and feeder services and the movement to somewhat larger aircraft. One limitation of the study was that it was not possible to consider passenger flows from outside Germany hubbing outside Germany as well as all other potential markets due to both data and time constraints. Obviously, we expect that some of these flows will be redirected towards German airports due to the new services so that the overall passenger gain will be higher than shown in the results. Of course, this will affect aircraft movements as well.