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Top-down or bottom-up: Aggregate versus disaggregate extrapolations

Author

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  • Dangerfield, Byron J.
  • Morris, John S.

Abstract

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Suggested Citation

  • Dangerfield, Byron J. & Morris, John S., 1992. "Top-down or bottom-up: Aggregate versus disaggregate extrapolations," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 8(2), pages 233-241, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:intfor:v:8:y:1992:i:2:p:233-241
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Moon, Seongmin & Simpson, Andrew & Hicks, Christian, 2013. "The development of a classification model for predicting the performance of forecasting methods for naval spare parts demand," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(2), pages 449-454.
    2. Spithourakis, Georgios P. & Petropoulos, Fotios & Nikolopoulos, Konstantinos & Assimakopoulos, Vassilios, 2015. "Amplifying the learning effects via a Forecasting and Foresight Support System," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(1), pages 20-32.
    3. Sbrana, Giacomo & Silvestrini, Andrea, 2013. "Forecasting aggregate demand: Analytical comparison of top-down and bottom-up approaches in a multivariate exponential smoothing framework," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(1), pages 185-198.
    4. Armstrong, J. Scott & Green, Kesten C. & Graefe, Andreas, 2015. "Golden rule of forecasting: Be conservative," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 68(8), pages 1717-1731.
    5. J. Scott Armstrong & Kesten C. Green, 2005. "Demand Forecasting: Evidence-based Methods," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 24/05, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
    6. Chen, Argon & Blue, Jakey, 2010. "Performance analysis of demand planning approaches for aggregating, forecasting and disaggregating interrelated demands," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 128(2), pages 586-602, December.
    7. Babai, Zied & Boylan, John E. & Kolassa, Stephan & Nikolopoulos, Konstantinos, 2016. "Supply chain forecasting: Theory, practice, their gap and the futureAuthor-Name: Syntetos, Aris A," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 252(1), pages 1-26.
    8. Hyndman, Rob J. & Ahmed, Roman A. & Athanasopoulos, George & Shang, Han Lin, 2011. "Optimal combination forecasts for hierarchical time series," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 55(9), pages 2579-2589, September.
    9. Han Lin Shang, 2017. "Reconciling Forecasts of Infant Mortality Rates at National and Sub-National Levels: Grouped Time-Series Methods," Population Research and Policy Review, Springer;Southern Demographic Association (SDA), vol. 36(1), pages 55-84, February.
    10. Huddleston, Samuel H. & Porter, John H. & Brown, Donald E., 2015. "Improving forecasts for noisy geographic time series," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 68(8), pages 1810-1818.
    11. Han Lin Shang & Rob J Hyndman, 2016. "Grouped functional time series forecasting: An application to age-specific mortality rates," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 4/16, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
    12. Shin-Lian Lo & Fu-Kwun Wang & James T. Lin, 2008. "Forecasting for the LCD monitor market," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(4), pages 341-356.
    13. Athanasopoulos, George & Ahmed, Roman A. & Hyndman, Rob J., 2009. "Hierarchical forecasts for Australian domestic tourism," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 25(1), pages 146-166.
    14. repec:eee:spacre:v:20:y:2017:i:1:p:95-106 is not listed on IDEAS
    15. repec:eee:ejores:v:263:y:2017:i:2:p:412-418 is not listed on IDEAS
    16. Moon, Seongmin & Hicks, Christian & Simpson, Andrew, 2012. "The development of a hierarchical forecasting method for predicting spare parts demand in the South Korean Navy—A case study," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(2), pages 794-802.
    17. Rostami-Tabar, Bahman & Babai, Mohamed Zied & Ducq, Yves & Syntetos, Aris, 2015. "Non-stationary demand forecasting by cross-sectional aggregation," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 170(PA), pages 297-309.
    18. Armstrong, J. Scott, 2006. "Findings from evidence-based forecasting: Methods for reducing forecast error," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 583-598.
    19. Kamel Jlassi, 2015. "Modelling and Forecasting of Tunisian Current Account: Aggregate versus Disaggregate Approach," IHEID Working Papers 13-2015, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.
    20. repec:eee:energy:v:144:y:2018:i:c:p:1107-1118 is not listed on IDEAS
    21. Babai, M. Zied & Ali, Mohammad M. & Nikolopoulos, Konstantinos, 2012. "Impact of temporal aggregation on stock control performance of intermittent demand estimators: Empirical analysis," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 40(6), pages 713-721.
    22. repec:pal:jorsoc:v:58:y:2007:i:12:d:10.1057_palgrave.jors.2602310 is not listed on IDEAS
    23. Widiarta, Handik & Viswanathan, S. & Piplani, Rajesh, 2009. "Forecasting aggregate demand: An analytical evaluation of top-down versus bottom-up forecasting in a production planning framework," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(1), pages 87-94, March.

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