Robust backward population projections made possible
Based on formal results for population dynamics under varying fertility and mortality levels, this paper presents a new approach to backward population projection. Unlike other methods in the literature, the method presented here is robust and accurate in both the short and long run. The method and the theory behind it contribute to the knowledge about dynamic populations and may find applications in population modeling and reconstruction.
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- Ansley Coale & A. John & Toni Richards, 1985. "Calculation of age-specific fertility schedules from tabulations of parity in two censuses," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 22(4), pages 611-623, November.
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