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Exports and intergenerational mobility

Author

Listed:
  • Mitra, Devashish
  • Pham, Hoang
  • Ural Marchand, Beyza

Abstract

Using eight rounds of the Vietnam Household Living Standards Surveys spanning 16 years and exploiting the US-Vietnam Bilateral Trade Agreement (BTA) in 2001, we investigate the impact of this large export shock on intergenerational occupational mobility. The BTA has, on average, led to greater upward absolute occupational mobility among sons and daughters, with effects following roughly a U-shape by age for sons and an inverse-U for daughters. However, relative occupational mobility, inversely related to the gradient of the child’s occupational rank as a function of the parent’s, decreased on average as a result of the BTA, with this effect also varying across age groups. While the BTA improved occupational mobility for an average child, children born to top-ranked parents benefited disproportionately. Also, the BTA increased human capital investment in college education across genders and vocational training for sons. Furthermore, higher individual and initial province-level human capital facilitated this mobility.

Suggested Citation

  • Mitra, Devashish & Pham, Hoang & Ural Marchand, Beyza, 2026. "Exports and intergenerational mobility," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:inecon:v:161:y:2026:i:c:s0022199626000292
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2026.104239
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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • F16 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade and Labor Market Interactions
    • F66 - International Economics - - Economic Impacts of Globalization - - - Labor
    • J62 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Job, Occupational and Intergenerational Mobility; Promotion
    • O19 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - International Linkages to Development; Role of International Organizations

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