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Dynamic effects of financial openness and capital account controls on economic growth

Author

Listed:
  • Liu, Xiaohua
  • Zhang, Bianling
  • Zhao, Caoyuan
  • Li, Yusheng

Abstract

The relationship between financial openness, capital account controls, and economic growth (EG) has become a key topic of debate among policymakers and economists, particularly in emerging economies. This study explores the dynamic relationship among financial openness, capital account controls, and EG using provincial panel data from 2009 to 2023. The study yields the following findings: financial opening has a positive impact on EG, capital account controls restrain EG, capital account controls mediate the relationship between financial opening and EG, and the impact of financial opening on EG varies across provinces with different population densities. Drawing on these findings, this study proposes differentiated policy recommendations, emphasizing the need to adjust the intensity of financial openness and capital account controls according to local conditions to promote sustainable EG. This study contributes to the existing literature by providing novel empirical evidence on the mediating role of capital account controls and the moderating effect of population density, offering a more nuanced understanding of the heterogeneous effects of financial openness on economic growth across regions.

Suggested Citation

  • Liu, Xiaohua & Zhang, Bianling & Zhao, Caoyuan & Li, Yusheng, 2026. "Dynamic effects of financial openness and capital account controls on economic growth," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:100:y:2026:i:c:s1544612326005349
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2026.110005
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