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Valuation of proof-of-stake and smart contract cryptocurrencies

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  • Dong, Huayuan
  • Weber, Marko Hans
  • Xiao, Yao

Abstract

This paper develops a continuous-time equilibrium model to analyze the valuation of proof-of-stake (PoS) cryptocurrencies. A representative agent optimizes consumption and investment in the native PoS token, which features staking rewards and token burns linked to on-chain activity. The agent participates in an on-chain borrowing/lending market (e.g., stablecoin-based). We derive endogenous interest rates and token prices, showing that higher impatience and risk aversion decrease token value, while increased DeFi yields and expected revenue growth raise it. Counterintuitively, greater expected revenue growth increases the token inflation rate due to its upward pressure on token prices. The total market capitalization remains independent of the validator revenue distribution and the token issuance.

Suggested Citation

  • Dong, Huayuan & Weber, Marko Hans & Xiao, Yao, 2026. "Valuation of proof-of-stake and smart contract cryptocurrencies," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:100:y:2026:i:c:s1544612326005325
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2026.110003
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