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Uncertainty in seasonally adjusted services inflation: the role of Easter and travel

Author

Listed:
  • Eiglsperger, Martin
  • Porqueddu, Mario
  • Wieland, Elisabeth

Abstract

This box outlines the uncertainty related to the seasonal and calendar adjustment of the euro area Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) for services. To gauge the impact of statistical estimations with respect to this uncertainty, we zoom in on historical revisions of seasonal and calendar adjustments conducted by the ECB and the results of alternative methods. The implications for the interpretation of services momentum – which moved up sharply recently – are derived from these findings. JEL Classification: E31;

Suggested Citation

  • Eiglsperger, Martin & Porqueddu, Mario & Wieland, Elisabeth, 2025. "Uncertainty in seasonally adjusted services inflation: the role of Easter and travel," Economic Bulletin Boxes, European Central Bank, vol. 5.
  • Handle: RePEc:ecb:ecbbox:2025:0005:5
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    File URL: https://www.ecb.europa.eu//press/economic-bulletin/focus/2025/html/ecb.ebbox202505_05~977c8f03a8.en.html
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    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation

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