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Ciclos economicos y sector externo en Mexico. Evidencia de relaciones cambiantes en el tiempo

Listed author(s):
  • Gutierrez-Alba, E.E.
  • Mejia-Reyes, P.
  • Cruz-Flores, B.
Registered author(s):

    Este documento analiza la relación cambiante entre el ciclo económico y un conjunto de variables clave del sector externo de México mediante la aplicación de la metodología sugerida por Kydland y Prescott (1990) para muestras de cinco años que se desplazan en el tiempo durante el periodo 1980-2004. Nuestros resultados muestran que a partir de los años noventa: el tipo de cambio es contra-cíclico y antecede al ciclo, las exportaciones son coincidentes y pro-cíclicas, las importaciones son pro-cíclicas y coincidentes y los ciclos de México y de los Estados Unidos se han sincronizado.

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    Article provided by Euro-American Association of Economic Development in its journal Estudios Economicos de Desarrollo Internacional.

    Volume (Year): 5 (2005)
    Issue (Month): 1 ()

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    Handle: RePEc:eaa:eedein:v:5:y2005:i:5_8
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