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Ciclos economicos y sector externo en Mexico. Evidencia de relaciones cambiantes en el tiempo

Author

Listed:
  • Gutierrez-Alba, E.E.
  • Mejia-Reyes, P.
  • Cruz-Flores, B.

Abstract

Este documento analiza la relación cambiante entre el ciclo económico y un conjunto de variables clave del sector externo de México mediante la aplicación de la metodología sugerida por Kydland y Prescott (1990) para muestras de cinco años que se desplazan en el tiempo durante el periodo 1980-2004. Nuestros resultados muestran que a partir de los años noventa: el tipo de cambio es contra-cíclico y antecede al ciclo, las exportaciones son coincidentes y pro-cíclicas, las importaciones son pro-cíclicas y coincidentes y los ciclos de México y de los Estados Unidos se han sincronizado.

Suggested Citation

  • Gutierrez-Alba, E.E. & Mejia-Reyes, P. & Cruz-Flores, B., 2005. "Ciclos economicos y sector externo en Mexico. Evidencia de relaciones cambiantes en el tiempo," Estudios Economicos de Desarrollo Internacional, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 5(1).
  • Handle: RePEc:eaa:eedein:v:5:y2005:i:5_8
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    File URL: http://www.usc.es/economet/reviews/eedi518.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Neira, Isabel & Guisan, M.Carmen, 2002. "Modelos econometricos de capital humano y crecimiento economico: Efecto Inversion y otros efectos indirectos," Economic Development 62, University of Santiago de Compostela. Faculty of Economics and Business. Econometrics..
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    Keywords

    ciclos económicos; sector externo; México;

    JEL classification:

    • O52 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Europe

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