IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/diw/diwwrp/wr5-31.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

DIW's 2009 Fall Forecast: Key Economic Trends

Author

Listed:
  • Christian Dreger
  • Kerstin Bernoth
  • Franziska Bremus
  • Karl Brenke
  • Roberta Colavecchio
  • Burcu Erdogan
  • Stefan Kooths
  • Vladimir Kuzin
  • Dorothea Lucke
  • Charlotte Senftleben
  • Sebastian Weber

Abstract

Following an unprecedented contraction in GDP, the German economy returns to expansion. Growth will be modest in 2010, however, as the forces of the recovery are not yet stable. This is the key result of the Autumn outlook of the German Institute for Economic Research (DIW). DIW expects Germany's GDP to grow by 1.3% in 2010. While this figure is higher than the forecast for the entire euro zone (+0.8%), it is not cause for celebration: Next year's growth is too low to compensate for the decline in output since the start of the crisis. By the end of 2010, Germany's GDP will have returned to its level at the beginning of 2006.

Suggested Citation

  • Christian Dreger & Kerstin Bernoth & Franziska Bremus & Karl Brenke & Roberta Colavecchio & Burcu Erdogan & Stefan Kooths & Vladimir Kuzin & Dorothea Lucke & Charlotte Senftleben & Sebastian Weber, 2009. "DIW's 2009 Fall Forecast: Key Economic Trends," Weekly Report, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 5(31), pages 216-217.
  • Handle: RePEc:diw:diwwrp:wr5-31
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.diw.de/documents/publikationen/73/diw_01.c.342850.de/diw_wr_2009-31.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Economic outlook; Business cycle forecast; Consumption; Foreign trade; Labour market;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E66 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General Outlook and Conditions
    • F1 - International Economics - - Trade

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:diw:diwwrp:wr5-31. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Bibliothek (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/diwbede.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.