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German Construction Industry Remains on Its Path of Growth during the Coronavirus Recession

Author

Listed:
  • Martin Gornig
  • Claus Michelsen
  • Laura Pagenhardt

Abstract

The coronavirus pandemic has led to a deep worldwide economic crisis. In many countries, the construction industry has been impacted. In Germany, however, construction activity is one of the economic sectors that has remained largely stable: In 2020, the total construction volume in Germany is expected to have increased by around four percent to 444 billion euros after increasing by around eight percent in 2019. DIW Berlin’s most recent construction volume calculation expects an increase of almost three and five percent for 2021 and 2022, respectively. This growth is due to Germany’s decision to allow construction work on site to continue as well as to allow trade and repair companies to continue conducting business in households in adherence with hygiene measures. Nevertheless, the pandemic is still affecting construction firms; commercial construction in particular is likely to not escape unscathed. The overall performance of non-residential construction, however, is likely to depend primarily on the public sector. If federal and state government capital spending is increased and local governments’ budget holes are plugged, as was previously planned, public construction should stabilize construction activity.

Suggested Citation

  • Martin Gornig & Claus Michelsen & Laura Pagenhardt, 2021. "German Construction Industry Remains on Its Path of Growth during the Coronavirus Recession," DIW Weekly Report, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 11(1/2), pages 3-13.
  • Handle: RePEc:diw:diwdwr:dwr11-1-1
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    File URL: https://www.diw.de/documents/publikationen/73/diw_01.c.808495.de/dwr-21-01-1.pdf
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    Cited by:

    1. Arturas Kaklauskas & Edmundas Kazimieras Zavadskas & Natalija Lepkova & Saulius Raslanas & Kestutis Dauksys & Ingrida Vetloviene & Ieva Ubarte, 2021. "Sustainable Construction Investment, Real Estate Development, and COVID-19: A Review of Literature in the Field," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(13), pages 1-42, July.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Construction industry; residential construction; public infrastructure; economic outlook;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E66 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General Outlook and Conditions

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