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World Economy Gaining Momentum, Risks Remain High: DIW Economic Outlook

Author

Listed:
  • Ferdinand Fichtner
  • Guido Baldi
  • Christian Dreger
  • Hella Engerer
  • Stefan Gebauer
  • Michael Hachula
  • Robert Lange
  • Malte Rieth

Abstract

The world economy continues on its upward growth path, with global production expected to grow by 3.7 percent this year and slightly more than that in 2018. The economies in both the developed and the emerging countries are gaining momentum. Solid output growth is expected for the U.S. and euro area over the forecast period; China’s growth rates remain high, though they are declining somewhat; and Russia is coming out of its recession. Private consumption is driving growth in the developed countries, but the rise in inflation – which is due to higher energy prices – is expected to slow down consumption growth a bit. The global increase in prices is likely to also lead to a slightly more restrictive monetary policy overall. A number of economic policy-related risks – not least among them, the protectionism – could have a negative impact on the world economy, in particular on investment activity.

Suggested Citation

  • Ferdinand Fichtner & Guido Baldi & Christian Dreger & Hella Engerer & Stefan Gebauer & Michael Hachula & Robert Lange & Malte Rieth, 2017. "World Economy Gaining Momentum, Risks Remain High: DIW Economic Outlook," DIW Economic Bulletin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 7(11), pages 127-128.
  • Handle: RePEc:diw:diwdeb:2017-11-2
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Business cycle forecast; economic outlook;

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E66 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General Outlook and Conditions
    • F01 - International Economics - - General - - - Global Outlook

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