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Despite Weaker Job Market, Germany’s Economic Upswing Continues

Author

Listed:
  • Ferdinand Fichtner
  • Karl Brenke
  • Marius Clemens
  • Simon Junker
  • Claus Michelsen
  • Maximilian Podstawski
  • Thore Schlaak
  • Kristina van Deuverden

Abstract

In spite of persisting unfavorable external economic conditions, the German economy’s upward trend continues, with a growth of 1.2 percent expected for the coming year – slightly less than the 1.8 percent growth rate of 2016, a difference primarily due to the fact that 2017 has fewer workdays. A growth rate of 1.6 percent is expected for 2018. Although employment growth has slowed down somewhat since this past summer, private consumption remains the German economy’s primary growth driver – but given the higher inflation, this dynamic will lose momentum in the course of the coming quarters. Exports are picking up in the moderately recovering global economy, and this will be even more noticeable lateron in the forecast period. Though investment activity will be somewhat stimulated by the improvement in foreign demand, it will remain rather modest.

Suggested Citation

  • Ferdinand Fichtner & Karl Brenke & Marius Clemens & Simon Junker & Claus Michelsen & Maximilian Podstawski & Thore Schlaak & Kristina van Deuverden, 2016. "Despite Weaker Job Market, Germany’s Economic Upswing Continues," DIW Economic Bulletin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 6(50), pages 587-593.
    • Handle: RePEc:diw:diwdeb:2016-50-2
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Business cycle forecast; economic outlook;

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E66 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General Outlook and Conditions
    • F01 - International Economics - - General - - - Global Outlook

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