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Анализ На Времевите Редове На Цените И Обема На Борсовата Търговия На Електрическа Енергия В Условията На Ниска Ликвидност

Author

Listed:
  • Виктор Аврамов

    (Нов български университет)

Abstract

В тази статия се анализират времевите редове на цените и количествата на борсовия пазар на електрическа енергия. Изследва се периода януари 2016 – юни 2018 като се приема, че в този начален за функционирането й период, борсовата търговия не е достатъчно ликвидна. Правят се статистически тестове и сезонно се декомпозират времевите редове на борсовите количества и цени. Това позволява да се установят техните свойства. Анализът демонстрира, че и двата времеви реда се характеризират с връщане към средната стойност (mean reversion) и имат изразена седмична сезонност.

Suggested Citation

  • Виктор Аврамов, 2019. "Анализ На Времевите Редове На Цените И Обема На Борсовата Търговия На Електрическа Енергия В Условията На Ниска Ликвидност," Electronic magazine "Dialogue", D. A. Tsenov Academy of Economics, Svishtov, Bulgaria, issue 4 Year 20, pages 8-22.
    • Handle: RePEc:dat:dialog:y:2019:i:4:p:8-22
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10610/4250
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    потребление на електрическа енергия; сезонност; времеви редове; прогнозиране;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
    • Q41 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Demand and Supply; Prices
    • Q47 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy Forecasting

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