IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/
MyIDEAS: Login to save this article or follow this journal

Self-Fulfilling Prophecies And The Business Cycle

  • FARMER, ROGER E.A.
  • WOODFORD, MICHAEL

We demonstrate that multiple stationary rational-expectationsequilibria exist in a version of Lucas s island economy. Theexistence of these equilibria follows from the fact that there is an indeterminate set of monetary equilibria in the two-period overlapping-generations model. We show how to construct stationaryrational-expectations equilibria by randomizing over the set ofnonstationary monetary equilibria. In some of our equilibria, apositively sloped Phillips curve exists even though our economycontains no signal-extraction problem as in the original Lucas paper.Our equilibria are indexed by beliefs and are examples of theexistence of sunspot equilibria in which allocations may differacross states of nature for which preferences, technology, andendowments are identical. Our technique for constructing stationarysunspot equilibria should prove useful in a wide class of models inwhich an indeterminate stationary equilibrium exists.

If you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.

File URL: http://journals.cambridge.org/abstract_S1365100597005051
File Function: link to article abstract page
Download Restriction: no

Article provided by Cambridge University Press in its journal Macroeconomic Dynamics.

Volume (Year): 1 (1997)
Issue (Month): 04 (December)
Pages: 740-769

as
in new window

Handle: RePEc:cup:macdyn:v:1:y:1997:i:04:p:740-769_00
Contact details of provider: Postal: Cambridge University Press, UPH, Shaftesbury Road, Cambridge CB2 8BS UK
Web page: http://journals.cambridge.org/jid_MDY
Email:

No references listed on IDEAS
You can help add them by filling out this form.

This item is not listed on Wikipedia, on a reading list or among the top items on IDEAS.

When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:cup:macdyn:v:1:y:1997:i:04:p:740-769_00. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Keith Waters)

If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.

If the full references list an item that is present in RePEc, but the system did not link to it, you can help with this form.

If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

This information is provided to you by IDEAS at the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis using RePEc data.