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Effects Of Climate Change On Rice Yield And Rice Market In Vietnam

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  • LE, TRANG T. H.

Abstract

We evaluate the effects of climate change on Vietnam's rice market. Results suggest that under a low-emission scenario and without interventions, rice production would drop by as much as 18% by 2030 relative to the 1980–1999 average. Farm and wholesale prices would increase by 1.86%, causing domestic demand to fall by 0.38%. The export sector would experience a rise of 6.94% in export free-on-board prices and a drop of 55.36% in export quantities. Farmers would experience a sales loss of 16.02%, whereas wholesalers would see a sales gain of 1.48%. For exporters, their sales loss would amount to 48.42%.

Suggested Citation

  • Le, Trang T. H., 2016. "Effects Of Climate Change On Rice Yield And Rice Market In Vietnam," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 48(4), pages 366-382, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:jagaec:v:48:y:2016:i:04:p:366-382_00
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