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Principal Components Analysis of Cointegrated Time Series

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  • Harris, David

Abstract

This paper considers the analysis of cointegrated time series using principal components methods. These methods have the advantage of requiring neither the normalization imposed by the triangular error correction model nor the specification of a finite-order vector autoregression. An asymptotically efficient estimator of the cointegrating vectors is given, along with tests forcointegration and tests of certain linear restrictions on the cointegrating vectors. An illustrative application is provided.

Suggested Citation

  • Harris, David, 1997. "Principal Components Analysis of Cointegrated Time Series," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 13(4), pages 529-557, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:cup:etheor:v:13:y:1997:i:04:p:529-557_00
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    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models

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