IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/cup/astinb/v45y2015i03p477-502_00.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Differences In European Mortality Rates: A Geometric Approach On The Age–Period Plane

Author

Listed:
  • Christiansen, Marcus C.
  • Spodarev, Evgeny
  • Unseld, Verena

Abstract

Age and period are the most widely used parameters for forecasting mortality rates. Empirical mortality rate differences in multiple populations often show strong geometric patterns on the two-dimensional age–period plane. The idea of this paper is to take these geometric patterns as the starting point for the development of forecasts. A parametric approach is presented and discussed which uses simple techniques from spatial statistics. The proposed model is statistically parsimonious and yields forecasts that are consistent with the historical data and coherent for multiple populations.

Suggested Citation

  • Christiansen, Marcus C. & Spodarev, Evgeny & Unseld, Verena, 2015. "Differences In European Mortality Rates: A Geometric Approach On The Age–Period Plane," ASTIN Bulletin, Cambridge University Press, vol. 45(3), pages 477-502, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:astinb:v:45:y:2015:i:03:p:477-502_00
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S0515036115000136/type/journal_article
    File Function: link to article abstract page
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Guibert, Quentin & Lopez, Olivier & Piette, Pierrick, 2019. "Forecasting mortality rate improvements with a high-dimensional VAR," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 255-272.
    2. Andrew J.G. Cairns & Malene Kallestrup-Lamb & Carsten P.T. Rosenskjold & David Blake & Kevin Dowd, 2016. "Modelling Socio-Economic Differences in the Mortality of Danish Males Using a New Affluence Index," CREATES Research Papers 2016-14, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:cup:astinb:v:45:y:2015:i:03:p:477-502_00. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Kirk Stebbing (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.cambridge.org/asb .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.