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The Claims Reserving Problem in Non-Life Insurance: Some Structural Ideas

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  • Arjas, Elja

Abstract

We present some relatively simple structural ideas about how probabilistic modeling, and in particular, the modern theory of point processes and martingales, can be used in the estimation of claims reserves.

Suggested Citation

  • Arjas, Elja, 1989. "The Claims Reserving Problem in Non-Life Insurance: Some Structural Ideas," ASTIN Bulletin, Cambridge University Press, vol. 19(2), pages 139-152, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:astinb:v:19:y:1989:i:02:p:139-152_00
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    Cited by:

    1. Francesca Biagini & Yinglin Zhang, 2018. "Extended Reduced-Form Framework for Non-Life Insurance," Papers 1802.07741, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2022.
    2. Avanzi, Benjamin & Taylor, Greg & Wong, Bernard & Yang, Xinda, 2021. "On the modelling of multivariate counts with Cox processes and dependent shot noise intensities," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 9-24.
    3. Avanzi, Benjamin & Taylor, Greg & Wang, Melantha & Wong, Bernard, 2021. "SynthETIC: An individual insurance claim simulator with feature control," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 296-308.
    4. Emmanuel Jordy Menvouta & Jolien Ponnet & Robin Van Oirbeek & Tim Verdonck, 2022. "mCube: Multinomial Micro-level reserving Model," Papers 2212.00101, arXiv.org.
    5. Jiandong Ren, 2016. "Analysis of Insurance Claim Settlement Process with Markovian Arrival Processes," Risks, MDPI, vol. 4(1), pages 1-10, March.
    6. Avanzi, Benjamin & Wong, Bernard & Yang, Xinda, 2016. "A micro-level claim count model with overdispersion and reporting delays," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 1-14.
    7. Alexandre Brouste & Christophe Dutang, 2016. "Closed-form and numerical computations of actuarial indicators in ruin theory and claim reserving," Post-Print hal-01616192, HAL.
    8. Fersini, Paola & Melisi, Giuseppe, 2016. "Stochastic model to evaluate the fair value of motor third-party liability under the direct reimbursement scheme and quantification of the capital requirement in a Solvency II perspective," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 27-44.
    9. Ahn, Soohan & Badescu, Andrei L. & Cheung, Eric C.K. & Kim, Jeong-Rae, 2018. "An IBNR–RBNS insurance risk model with marked Poisson arrivals," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 26-42.
    10. Pavel Zimmermann, 2011. "Possibilities of Individual Claim Reserve Risk Modeling," Acta Oeconomica Pragensia, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2011(6), pages 46-64.
    11. Denuit, Michel & Trufin, Julien, 2016. "Collective Loss Reserving with Two Types of Claims in Motor Third Party Liability Insurance," LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA 2016029, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
    12. Wahl, Felix, 2019. "Explicit moments for a class of micro-models in non-life insurance," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 140-156.
    13. Muneya Matsui, 2017. "Prediction of Components in Random Sums," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 19(2), pages 573-587, June.
    14. Macci, Claudio & Torrisi, Giovanni Luca, 2004. "Asymptotic results for perturbed risk processes with delayed claims," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(2), pages 307-320, April.
    15. Maciak, Matúš & Okhrin, Ostap & Pešta, Michal, 2021. "Infinitely stochastic micro reserving," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 30-58.
    16. Benjamin Avanzi & Gregory Clive Taylor & Melantha Wang & Bernard Wong, 2020. "SynthETIC: an individual insurance claim simulator with feature control," Papers 2008.05693, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2021.
    17. Łukasz Delong & Mario V. Wüthrich, 2020. "Neural Networks for the Joint Development of Individual Payments and Claim Incurred," Risks, MDPI, vol. 8(2), pages 1-34, April.
    18. Francis Duval & Mathieu Pigeon, 2019. "Individual Loss Reserving Using a Gradient Boosting-Based Approach," Risks, MDPI, vol. 7(3), pages 1-18, July.
    19. Arthur Charpentier & Mathieu Pigeon, 2016. "Macro vs. Micro Methods in Non-Life Claims Reserving (an Econometric Perspective)," Risks, MDPI, vol. 4(2), pages 1-18, May.
    20. Richard J. Verrall & Mario V. Wüthrich, 2016. "Understanding Reporting Delay in General Insurance," Risks, MDPI, vol. 4(3), pages 1-36, July.
    21. Nichil, Geoffrey & Vallois, Pierre, 2016. "Provisioning against borrowers default risk," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 29-43.
    22. Mat'uv{s} Maciak & Ostap Okhrin & Michal Pev{s}ta, 2018. "Dynamic and granular loss reserving with copulae," Papers 1801.01792, arXiv.org.
    23. Benjamin Avanzi & Gregory Clive Taylor & Bernard Wong & Xinda Yang, 2020. "On the modelling of multivariate counts with Cox processes and dependent shot noise intensities," Papers 2004.11169, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2020.
    24. Huang, Jinlong & Qiu, Chunjuan & Wu, Xianyi & Zhou, Xian, 2015. "An individual loss reserving model with independent reporting and settlement," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 232-245.
    25. Mat'uv{s} Maciak & Ostap Okhrin & Michal Pev{s}ta, 2019. "Infinitely Stochastic Micro Forecasting," Papers 1908.10636, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2019.

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