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The 1914 Case

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  • Holsti, Ole R.

Abstract

This paper will employ techniques of content analysis to examine some features of top-level communications between national policy makers during a momentous period of stress. It is concerned with the effects of stress upon: (1) the manner in which decision-makers perceive time as a factor in their formulation of policy; (2) the contrasting ways in which they view policy alternatives for their own nations, for their allies, and for their adversaries; and (3) the flow of communications among them. Specifically, the following hypotheses will be tested with data from the 1914 crisis leading up to the Great War in Europe: Hypothesis 1. As stress increases in a crisis situation: (a) time will be perceived as an increasingly salient factor in decision-making. (b) decision-makers will become increasingly concerned with the immediate rather than the distant future.

Suggested Citation

  • Holsti, Ole R., 1965. "The 1914 Case," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 59(2), pages 365-378, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:apsrev:v:59:y:1965:i:02:p:365-378_07
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    Cited by:

    1. Hemda Ben-Yehuda, 1999. "Opportunity Crises: Framework and Findings, 1918-1994," Conflict Management and Peace Science, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 17(1), pages 69-102, February.
    2. Levy Sheldon G., 2001. "Psychology and the Study of Inter-Group Conflict," Peace Economics, Peace Science, and Public Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 7(2), pages 1-36, April.
    3. K.J. Holsti, 1966. "Resolving international conflicts: a taxonomy of behavior and some figures on procedures," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 10(3), pages 272-296, September.

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