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Análisis de crimen y castigo: el caso de las “parainstituciones” de invasión en Cali

Author

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  • Enrique Javier Burbano Valencia

Abstract

Siguiendo la economía del crimen según Becker (1968) y Ehrlich (1973) —incluyendo el efecto del flujo migratorio— se analiza por qué algunos individuos eligen estratégica, racional —y contingentemente— participar en “parainstituciones” ilegales de invasión de tierras en Cali, desde la década de 1950. Para esto se modelará la eficiencia de la justicia con el fin de desincentivar las invasiones realizando simulaciones —ancladas a parámetros reales calibrados de la población relevante— de sanciones y probabilidades de aprehensión y castigo disuasorios bajo tres “parainstituciones”: dinastía invasora, invasión organizada e invasión contingente (flujo migratorio endógeno). Esto permitirá calibrar la línea de indiferencia (división) entre individuos con conductas invasoras (e incentivos a la ilegalidad) y no invasoras. Finalmente, se formulará una propuesta de política que ayude a corregir las ineficiencias detectadas en los mecanismos sancionatorios, si es el caso.

Suggested Citation

  • Enrique Javier Burbano Valencia, 2014. "Análisis de crimen y castigo: el caso de las “parainstituciones” de invasión en Cali," Revista Ecos de Economía, Universidad EAFIT, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000442:012031
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    crimen; esquema policivo-judicial; invasión; disuasión; migración;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C63 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computational Techniques
    • D01 - Microeconomics - - General - - - Microeconomic Behavior: Underlying Principles
    • J18 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Public Policy
    • K14 - Law and Economics - - Basic Areas of Law - - - Criminal Law
    • K42 - Law and Economics - - Legal Procedure, the Legal System, and Illegal Behavior - - - Illegal Behavior and the Enforcement of Law

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