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Un modelo Macroeconométrico para la Economía Colombiana


  • Javier Arturo Birchenall


  • Juan Daniel Oviedo


El presente documento analiza un modelo macroeconométrico de corto plazo para la economía colombiana, con el fin de evaluar el impacto de procesos de ajuste y estabilización. Se basa en una estructura que reconoce no neutralidades por rigideces de precios y descompone la economía a través de oferta y demanda agregada. El modelo se estima por diversos métodos para el período comprendido entre 1977 y 1998 con una frecuencia trimestral, con el fin de realizar proyecciones para períodos de uno y dos años.

Suggested Citation

  • Javier Arturo Birchenall & Juan Daniel Oviedo, 2000. "Un modelo Macroeconométrico para la Economía Colombiana," REVISTA DE ECONOMÍA DEL ROSARIO, UNIVERSIDAD DEL ROSARIO, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:col:000151:003686

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Flinn, Christopher J & Heckman, James J, 1983. "Are Unemployment and Out of the Labor Force Behaviorally Distinct Labor Force States?," Journal of Labor Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 1(1), pages 28-42, January.
    2. Stephen R. G. Jones & W. Craig Riddell, 1999. "The Measurement of Unemployment: An Empirical Approach," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 67(1), pages 147-162, January.
    3. Byrne, David & Strobl, Eric, 2004. "Defining unemployment in developing countries: evidence from Trinidad and Tobago," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 73(1), pages 465-476, February.
    4. Andrea Brandolini & Piero Cipollone & Eliana Viviano, 2006. "Does The Ilo Definition Capture All Unemployment?," Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, vol. 4(1), pages 153-179, March.
    5. Garrido, Luis & Toharia, Luis, 2004. "What does it take to be (counted as) unemployed? The case of Spain," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 11(4), pages 507-523, August.
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    Cited by:

    1. Mauricio Cárdenas, 2007. "Economic Growth In Colombia: A Reversal Of ‘Fortune’?," ENSAYOS SOBRE POLÍTICA ECONÓMICA, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA - ESPE, vol. 25(53), pages 220-259, January.

    More about this item


    Estimacion; proyecciones; evaluacion;

    JEL classification:

    • C10 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - General
    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C30 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - General
    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation


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