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Determinantes del intercambio directo de drogas ilegales a pequeña escala en Cali

Author

Listed:
  • José Santiago Arroyo Mina

    ()

  • Alexander Alegría Castellanos

    ()

  • Christian David Bustamante Amaya -

    ()

Abstract

Este documento centra su análisis en el estudio de los determinantes que explican el intercambio directo de drogas ilegales a pequeña escala en la ciudad de Cali, a partir de la estimación de modelos de datos de conteo. Se verifica el cumplimiento de los supuestos teóricos de la elección racional de los individuos que son esbozados en la economía del crimen. Los resultados del modelo sugieren que si un expendedor considera su actividad como riesgosa, reduce en una significativa cantidad el número de horas dedicadas al expendio. Por otra parte, el precio de un cigarrillo de marihuana afecta negativamente el número de veces que un individuo consume al día; no obstante, la magnitud del efecto para esta variable denota el alto grado de inelasticidad al precio que tiene el consumo de esta droga.

Suggested Citation

  • José Santiago Arroyo Mina & Alexander Alegría Castellanos & Christian David Bustamante Amaya -, 2012. "Determinantes del intercambio directo de drogas ilegales a pequeña escala en Cali," REVISTA CUADERNOS DE ECONOMÍA, UN - RCE - CID, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:col:000093:009956
    as

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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Raffaella Giacomini & Halbert White, 2006. "Tests of Conditional Predictive Ability," Econometrica, Econometric Society, pages 1545-1578.
    2. Hylleberg, S. & Engle, R. F. & Granger, C. W. J. & Yoo, B. S., 1990. "Seasonal integration and cointegration," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 44(1-2), pages 215-238.
    3. Raphael Bergoeing & Felipe Morandé & Facundo Piguillem, 2005. "Labor Market Distortions, Employment and Growth: The Recent Chilean Experience," Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series,in: Rómulo A. Chumacero & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel & Norman Loayza (Series Editor) & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel (S (ed.), General Equilibrium Models for the Chilean Economy, edition 1, volume 9, chapter 12, pages 395-414 Central Bank of Chile.
    4. Lawrence J. Christiano & Martin Eichenbaum & Charles L. Evans, 2005. "Nominal Rigidities and the Dynamic Effects of a Shock to Monetary Policy," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 113(1), pages 1-45, February.
    5. James H. Stock & Mark W.Watson, 2003. "Forecasting Output and Inflation: The Role of Asset Prices," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, pages 788-829.
    6. Rómulo Chumacero & Jorge Quiroz, 1996. "La Tasa Natural de Crecimiento de la Economía Chilena: 1985-1996," Latin American Journal of Economics-formerly Cuadernos de Economía, Instituto de Economía. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile., vol. 33(100), pages 453-472.
    7. Pablo Pincheira Brown & Álvaro García Marín, 2009. "Forecasting Inflation in Chile With an Accurate Benchmark," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 514, Central Bank of Chile.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    crimen y economía; microtráfico; modelos de datos de conteo.;

    JEL classification:

    • C25 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models; Discrete Regressors; Proportions; Probabilities
    • I12 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Health Behavior
    • K42 - Law and Economics - - Legal Procedure, the Legal System, and Illegal Behavior - - - Illegal Behavior and the Enforcement of Law
    • D03 - Microeconomics - - General - - - Behavioral Microeconomics: Underlying Principles

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