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China: the End of the Outward-Oriented Growth Model

Author

Listed:
  • Guillaume Gaulier
  • Joaquim Jarreau
  • Françoise Lemoine
  • Sandra Poncet
  • Deniz Ünal

Abstract

China, which since the 1980s has developed a dynamic export sector in order to drive its economic development, was hit hard by the collapse in global demand in late 2008. This episode revealed the fragility of the Chinese growth model, which is currently at a crossroads, not only as a result of the global context but also owing to the internal tensions it has caused. The results of thirty years of economic openness, as evidenced by CEPII studies, show that China's outstanding successes on international markets also have adverse effects and cannot be deemed to constitute a long-term development strategy. CEPII analyses are now assessing the changes that may occur in Chinese supply and the need to refocus growth on internal demand.

Suggested Citation

  • Guillaume Gaulier & Joaquim Jarreau & Françoise Lemoine & Sandra Poncet & Deniz Ünal, 2010. "China: the End of the Outward-Oriented Growth Model," La Lettre du CEPII, CEPII research center, issue 298.
  • Handle: RePEc:cii:cepill:2010-298
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    Cited by:

    1. Robert Kappel, 2010. "On the Economics of Regional Powers: Comparing China, India, Brazil, and South Africa," GIGA Working Paper Series 145, GIGA German Institute of Global and Area Studies.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    CHINA; GROWTH;

    JEL classification:

    • O53 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Asia including Middle East
    • O40 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General

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