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Un modele d'alerte precoce de difficultes bancaires pour les pays emergents

  • Faouzi Abdennour
  • Siham Houhou

Dans le cadre de cette etude, nous proposons un modele d’alerte precoce des difficultes bancaires. Ces modeles ont pour objet d’identifier rapidement les etablissements dont la situation financiere semble preoccupante. La specificite du modele reside dans le fait qu’il tient compte de la nature et de la qualite de l’environnement institutionnel, juridique et reglementaire dans lequel operent les banques des pays emergents. Les resultats de l’etude empirique confirment que l’environnement institutionnel, juridique et reglementaire influence la prise de risque de la part des banques. Un systeme d’alerte precoce de difficultes bancaires incluant des variables financieres type CAMEL et des variables institutionnelles, juridiques et reglementaires est un outil efficace dans la determination des etablissements en situation financiere difficile, en particulier dans les pays emergents.

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Article provided by CEPII research center in its journal Economie Internationale.

Volume (Year): (2008)
Issue (Month): 114 ()
Pages: 69-92

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Handle: RePEc:cii:cepiei:2008-2tc
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