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Regime de change et croissance economique : une investigation empirique

Author

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  • Chaker Aloui
  • Haithem Sassi

Abstract

L’objet de cet article est d’etudier les repercussions potentielles du choix du regime de change sur la croissance economique. Nous estimons l’incidence du regime de change sur la croissance en utilisant des donnees de panel relatives à 53 pays (1973 – 1998) et en ayant recourt a la methode d’estimation des moments generalises. Les resultats obtenus suggerent que les regimes de change assortis d’un point d’ancrage aux fins de la conduite de la politique monetaire, qu’il s’agisse de regimes de changes fixes ou flottants ou de regimes intermediaires, exercent une influence positive sur la croissance. Les resultats revelent qu’il est tres important de tenir compte du cadre de politique monetaire qui accompagne le regime de change lorsque l’on evalue les effets de ce regime sur la tenue globale de l’economie.

Suggested Citation

  • Chaker Aloui & Haithem Sassi, 2005. "Regime de change et croissance economique : une investigation empirique," Economie Internationale, CEPII research center, issue 104, pages 97-134.
  • Handle: RePEc:cii:cepiei:2005-4te
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    File URL: http://www.cepii.fr/IE/rev104/rev104e.htm
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    Keywords

    Regime de change; croissance economique; taux de change; cadre de politique monetaire;

    JEL classification:

    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies
    • F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • O40 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General

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