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Strategie de promotion des exportations et ajustement macroeconomique

Author

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  • Thi Anh-Dao Tran

Abstract

Cet article etudie les enjeux en matiere d'ajustement associes au choix d'une strategie de promotion des exportations. Il analyse l'impact sur la production et l'emploi d'une deterioration des termes de l'echange et d'une chute des entrees de capitaux etrangers. En l'absence de contrainte sur les marches, le realignement des prix relatifs et la mobilite intersectorielle du travail peuvent aider le pays a s'ajuster. Toutefois, ceci est remis en cause lorsque le pays subit une contrainte d'exportation, la politique d'ajustement aux chocs exterieurs se reduisant dans ce cas a une politique de demande. Le choix d'une orientation vers l'exportation est d'autant plus risque que le pays est faiblement endette, ses niveaux de production et d'emploi devenant completement dependants des conditions exterieures.

Suggested Citation

  • Thi Anh-Dao Tran, 2001. "Strategie de promotion des exportations et ajustement macroeconomique," Economie Internationale, CEPII research center, issue 86, pages 3-25.
  • Handle: RePEc:cii:cepiei:2001-2ta
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    File URL: http://www.cepii.fr/IE/ei.asp?issue=86
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Strategie de promotion des exportations; ajustement macroeconomique; contrainte d'exportation;

    JEL classification:

    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
    • O23 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Development Planning and Policy - - - Fiscal and Monetary Policy in Development
    • E63 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Comparative or Joint Analysis of Fiscal and Monetary Policy; Stabilization; Treasury Policy
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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