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ifo Konjunkturprognose für Ostdeutschland und Sachsen im Winter 2023: Erholung ohne Schwung

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  • Niels Gillmann
  • Yvo Künzel
  • Joachim Ragnitz

Abstract

Im Jahr 2023 dürfte die Wirtschaftsleistung in Ostdeutschland und Sachsen auf der Stelle getreten haben, während in Deutschland sogar eine leichte Schrumpfung um -0,3% zu verzeichnen war. Im laufenden Jahr 2024 dürfte die wirtschaftliche Leistung in Ostdeutschland und Sachsen dann wieder um 0,8%, bzw. 0,7% zunehmen (Deutschland: 0,9%). Die Dynamik am Arbeitsmarkt dürfte sich jedoch abschwächen; die Zahl der Erwerbstätigen wird dann lediglich um 0,0% bzw. 0,1% steigen. Auch hierbei spielt der demografisch bedingte Rückgang des Erwerbspersonenpotenzials eine entscheidende Rolle.

Suggested Citation

  • Niels Gillmann & Yvo Künzel & Joachim Ragnitz, 2024. "ifo Konjunkturprognose für Ostdeutschland und Sachsen im Winter 2023: Erholung ohne Schwung," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 31(01), pages 10-16, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifodre:v:31:y:2024:i:01:p:10-16
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Timo Wollmershäuser & Stefan Ederer & Friederike Fourné & Max Lay & Robert Lehmann & Sebastian Link & Sascha Möhrle & Ann-Christin Rathje & Moritz Schasching & Stefan Schiman-Vukan & Gerome Wolf & Lar, 2023. "ifo Konjunkturprognose Winter 2023: Konjunkturerholung verzögert sich – Haushaltslücke birgt neue Risiken," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 76(Sonderaus), December.
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