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ifo Konjunkturprognose Ostdeutschland und Sachsen 2015/2016: Anhaltende Expansion derostdeutschen Wirtschaft

Author

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  • Robert Lehmann
  • Jannik André Nauerth
  • Joachim Ragnitz
  • Michael Weber

Abstract

Die ostdeutsche Wirtschaft wird im Jahr 2015 voraussichtlich um 1,8 % und im Jahr 2016 um 1,6 % kräftig wachsen. In Sachsen dürfte das reale Bruttoinlandsprodukt mit 2,0 % bzw. 1,8 % noch etwas stärker expandieren. Dabei bleibt der private Konsum der Konjunkturmotor, gestützt von einer guten Arbeitsmarktlage, niedrigen Zinsen, und einem im Prognosezeitraum abnehmenden Sondereffekt, der aus den niedrigen Kraftstoff- und Heizölpreisen zu Jahresbeginn resultierte. Im Rahmen der allgemein positiven konjunkturellen Entwicklung werden zudem die Investitionsgüterproduzenten von der anziehenden Investitionsgüternachfrage der Unternehmen profitieren. Im Jahr 2016 wird sich die gesamtwirtschaftliche Dynamik bei insgesamt etwas nachlassender Weltkonjunktur geringfügig abschwächen.

Suggested Citation

  • Robert Lehmann & Jannik André Nauerth & Joachim Ragnitz & Michael Weber, 2015. "ifo Konjunkturprognose Ostdeutschland und Sachsen 2015/2016: Anhaltende Expansion derostdeutschen Wirtschaft," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 22(04), pages 12-20, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifodre:v:22:y:2015:i:04:p:12-20
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    File URL: https://www.ifo.de/DocDL/ifodb-2015-04-lehmann-et-al-konjunkturprognose-2015-08-24.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2015. "Deutschlandprognose 2015/2016: Im Konjunkturaufschwung," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 22(04), pages 03-12, August.
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    Cited by:

    1. Carolin Fritzsche & Michael Weber, 2015. "Zuviel Konsum auf Pump? Überschuldung im regionalen Vergleich," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 22(04), pages 39-42, August.

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      JEL classification:

      • O10 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - General

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