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Ostdeutscher Fachkräftemangel bis 2030

Author

Listed:
  • Stefan Arent
  • Wolfgang Nagl

Abstract

Aufgrund des demographischen Wandels kommt es zukünftig zu einer Verknappung des Arbeitsangebots, wodurch das Angebot insbesondere gut ausgebildeter Fachkräfte zurückgeht. Deutlich wird dies bereits in der zunehmenden Alterung in technischen Berufen in Ostdeutschland. In Deutschland bedarf es einer besseren Qualifizierung von jungen Menschen sowie einer lebenslangen Weiterbildung. Daneben sollten aber auch Maßnahmen gefunden werden, um ältere Arbeitnehmer länger im Betrieb zu halten. Der Anteil der Frauen in technischen Berufen sollte gesteigert werden. Gerade durch die Arbeitnehmerfreizügigkeit 2011 besteht zusätzlich die Chance, das Arbeitsangebot durch gut qualifizierte Migranten zu erhöhen. Positiv wirken hier die geographische Nähe Ostdeutschlands zu Osteuropa, allerdings negativ das Fehlen von Migrantennetzwerken und rechtsradikale Tendenzen in Teilen Ostdeutschlands.

Suggested Citation

  • Stefan Arent & Wolfgang Nagl, 2010. "Ostdeutscher Fachkräftemangel bis 2030," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 17(06), pages 40-43, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifodre:v:17:y:2010:i:06:p:40-43
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    File URL: http://www.cesifo-group.de/DocDL/ifodb_2010_6_40_43.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2011. "Deutschlandprognose 2011: Aufschwung in langsamerem Tempo," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 18(01), pages 5-14, February.
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    Cited by:

    1. Nadler Robert, 2012. "Should I stay or should I go? International migrants in the rural town of Zittau (Saxony) and their potential impact on rural development," European Countryside, De Gruyter Open, vol. 4(1), pages 57-72, January.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Qualifikationsbedarf; Erwerbspersonenpotenzial; Bevölkerungsentwicklung; Neue Bundesländer;

    JEL classification:

    • J21 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Force and Employment, Size, and Structure

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