IDEAS home Printed from
MyIDEAS: Log in (now much improved!) to save this article

Konjunkturperspektiven 2004/2005 : Erholung setzt sich fort

Listed author(s):
  • Wolfgang Nierhaus


In der deutschen Wirtschaft hat sich die Erholung in der ersten Hälfte dieses Jahres spürbar gefestigt. Impulse kamen bisher ausschließlich vom Ausland. Sie haben noch nicht auf die Nachfrage im Inland übergegriffen. Für den Prognosezeitraum wird erwartet, dass die außenwirtschaftlichen Impulse schwächer werden, da der globale Aufschwung insbesondere in seinen Kraftzentren USA und China an Tempo verliert. Vor diesem Hintergrund werden die Exportzuwächse in der Tendenz sinken, gleichzeitig expandiert die Inlandsnachfrage nicht stark genug, um dies auszugleichen. Alles in allem wird das reale Bruttoinlandsprodukt im Jahr 2005 um 1,5% zunehmen, nach 1,8% im Jahr 2004. Die Zahl der Erwerbstätigen dürfte im Prognosezeitraum weiter steigen, insbesondere im Niedriglohn- und Teilzeitbereich. Die Zahl der Arbeitslosen wird etwas abnehmen.

If you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.

File URL:
Download Restriction: no

Article provided by ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich in its journal ifo Dresden berichtet.

Volume (Year): 11 (2004)
Issue (Month): 06 (December)
Pages: 18-22

in new window

Handle: RePEc:ces:ifodre:v:11:y:2004:i:06:p:18-22
Contact details of provider: Postal:
Poschingerstr. 5, 81679 München

Phone: +49-89-9224-0
Fax: +49-89-985369
Web page:

More information through EDIRC

No references listed on IDEAS
You can help add them by filling out this form.

This item is not listed on Wikipedia, on a reading list or among the top items on IDEAS.

When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ces:ifodre:v:11:y:2004:i:06:p:18-22. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Klaus Wohlrabe)

If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.

If the full references list an item that is present in RePEc, but the system did not link to it, you can help with this form.

If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

This information is provided to you by IDEAS at the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis using RePEc data.