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Deutsche Konjunkturperspektiven 2004/2005 : nur allmähliche Belebung


  • Wolfgang Nierhaus



Die deutsche Wirtschaft löst sich langsam aus der Stagnation. Nach der Frühjahrsprognose der Forschungsinstitute wird sich der Anstieg der Produktion in diesem Jahr jedoch nur allmählich beschleunigen; im kommenden Jahr wird sich das Expansionstempo nicht weiter erhöhen. In beiden Jahren ist mit einer Wachstumsrate von 1,5 % zu rechnen. In Ostdeutschland wird die gesamtwirtschaftliche Aktivität in diesem Jahr mit 1,3 % etwas langsamer als in Westdeutschland ausgeweitet. Im Zuge der Belebung der Inlandsnachfrage dürfte das Wachstumstempo in Ostdeutschland im kommenden Jahr mit dem im Westen gleichziehen.

Suggested Citation

  • Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2004. "Deutsche Konjunkturperspektiven 2004/2005 : nur allmähliche Belebung," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 11(03), pages 24-30, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifodre:v:11:y:2004:i:03:p:24-30

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Simeon Djankov & Rafael La Porta & Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes & Andrei Shleifer, 2002. "The Regulation of Entry," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 117(1), pages 1-37.
    2. repec:hrv:faseco:30747190 is not listed on IDEAS
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    More about this item


    Konjunktur; Wirtschaftslage; Deutschland;

    JEL classification:

    • O10 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - General


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