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Konjunkturprognose 1998/1999 : Fortsetzung des moderaten Aufschwungs


  • Wolfgang Nierhaus



Die Konjunktur in Deutschland hat sich weiter gefestigt. Die gesamtwirtschaftliche Produktion ist in der ersten Jahreshälfte 1998 gegenüber dem zweiten Halbjahr 1997 saisonbereinigt um 1,25% gestiegen, was einer laufenden Jahresrate von 2,5% entspricht. Die Wachstumsrate gegenüber dem vergleichbaren Vorjahreszeitraum betrug 2,8%. Impulse kamen in der ersten Jahreshälfte 1998 zunehmend von der Binnennachfrage, insbesondere die Ausrüstungsinvestitionen zogen kräftig an. Der Außenbeitrag wirkte dagegen leicht dämpfend.

Suggested Citation

  • Wolfgang Nierhaus, 1998. "Konjunkturprognose 1998/1999 : Fortsetzung des moderaten Aufschwungs," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 5(04), pages 09-13, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifodre:v:05:y:1998:i:04:p:09-13

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Detken, Annette & Ott-Laubach, Petra, 2002. "Die Entwicklung der Kreditneuzusagen," Wirtschaftsdienst – Zeitschrift für Wirtschaftspolitik (1949 - 2007), ZBW – German National Library of Economics / Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 82(10), pages 618-625.
    2. Mojon, Benoît, 2000. "Financial structure and the interest rate channel of ECB monetary policy," Working Paper Series 0040, European Central Bank.
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