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The Climate Adaptation Trilemma

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  • Ilan Noy
  • Tomáš Uher

Abstract

Key MessagesClimate adaptation requires weighing trade-offs associated with every adaptation policy choice.Trade-offs can be described as a Trilemma of choosing between two out of three goals: reducing inequities and hardship, incentivizing risk reduction, and fiscal sustainability.Three main approaches dominate adaptation and align with these goals: government investment, private adaptation, and risk finance and insurance.Economic assessments of adaptation policies should increasingly stri-ve to include ancillary and indirect effects and quantify the Trilemma trade-offs.Combinations of adaptation policies should be designed to minimize trade-offs and maximize synergies.

Suggested Citation

  • Ilan Noy & Tomáš Uher, 2025. "The Climate Adaptation Trilemma," EconPol Forum, CESifo, vol. 26(02), pages 13-18, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:ces:epofor:v:26:y:2025:i:02:p:13-18
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